Head to head · July 2026 draft-day read
DJ Moore or Marvin Harrison?
DJ Moore and Marvin Harrison are a near-tie on 2025 production (8.7 vs 8.9 half-PPR PPG). At matching July 2026 ADP, the pick came down to your roster build, not a market tiebreak.
This week's projections are in the Week 5 start/sit card below. The July 2026 draft-day read that follows is opinion, framed from the cited 2025 data.
This week's start/sit · Half-PPR
Week 5: start DJ Moore or Marvin Harrison?
Slight lean: DJ Moore over Marvin Harrison Jr. (1.1 pts).
In 2024–25, projection gaps this size went the higher player's way about 57% of the time.
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WR · BUF
DJ Moore
8.5 pts projected · range 2.1–17.4
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WR · ARI
Marvin Harrison Jr.
7.4 pts projected · range 1.0–16.2
2026 season · the games so far
2026 head-to-head so far
Through Week 4, DJ Moore has out-scored Marvin Harrison by 4.2 PPR points per game, 9.1 to 4.9 (4 games each).
Through Week 4 · Week 4 in progress — 15 of 16 games final · nflverse stats as of
DJ Moore · Week 4 injury report Injury report — shoulder, limited in practice
| DJ Moore | Metric | Marvin Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 4 |
| 9.1 | PPR points per game | 4.9 |
| 19% | Target share | 8% |
| 5.0 | Targets per game | 3.3 |
| 53% | Snap share | 74% |
| 5.1 | PPR points per game, last 3 games | 5.1 |
Purple marks the higher figure. Shares are team-relative, averaged per game; snap share counts only games with a published snap count. "Last 3 games" is each player's own last 3 games played. A dash means no 2026 figure. 2026 regular season via nflverse.
Game by game: DJ Moore · Marvin Harrison
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
Metric by metric
The tale of the tape
| DJ Moore | Metric | Marvin Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| 63.2 (WR32) | Draft ADP (July 2026) | 66.4 (WR33) |
| 66 | Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 67 |
| 8.7 | Fantasy points / game | 8.9 |
| 16.1% | Target share | — |
| 14.9% | Target share, last 3 games (2025) | — |
| 59 | Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 77 |
Purple marks the better figure. A dash means the engine did not cite that metric for that player. 2025 regular season via nflverse · ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator, Jul 15, 2026 snapshot.
The consensus read
July 2026 drafts separated them by a hair — DJ Moore at ADP 63.2, Marvin Harrison at ADP 66.4. On 2025 production it is 8.7 vs 8.9 half-PPR points per game.
What had to be true
This call flipped on beliefs that were checkable at the time. Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read.
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Checkpoint · DJ Moore
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
14.9% last 3 vs 16.1% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong move if you believed
DJ Moore's late-2025 target dip was matchup noise, not a role change
Poor move if instead
DJ Moore's target share is fading from the season baseline
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure here is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.