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NFL game totals this week

Week 4: highest totals JAX @ CIN 51.5 · DET @ CAR 51.0 · NE @ BUF 48.5 — 12 of 16 lines have moved since our first snapshot; biggest total move DEN @ SF +1.5.

The board

Games ranked by over/under

Lines as of — consensus of 9 sportsbooks. Lines move all week — this is one signal for lineup decisions, not betting advice.

Swipe for implied totals, wind and the top projected players

31 NFL games still to play, highest game total first, with how the total and the line have moved since our first snapshot, both implied totals, venue and forecast wind, and the top projected players on each side.
GameTotalvs openLineopenImpliedVenue · windTop projected (half-PPR)
Week 4 — 16 games
JAX @ CINSun Oct 4, 1:00p ETJacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals51.5no move since openCIN −2.5JAX at CIN: unchanged since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 2:41 PM ET), checked 13 times — total 51.5, CIN −2.5.JAX 24.5CIN 27.0N 2 mph
JAX Trevor Lawrence QB 18.0, Parker Washington WR 10.7, Bhayshul Tuten RB 10.0
CIN Joe Burrow QB 19.9, Ja'Marr Chase WR 16.3, Chase Brown RB 14.7
DET @ CARSun Oct 4, 8:20p ETDetroit Lions at Carolina Panthers51.0open 50.5 · +0.5DET −3.5line unchangedDET at CAR: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 2:41 PM ET), the total moved from 50.5 to 51.0 (+0.5) and the line is unchanged at DET −3.5.DET 27.25CAR 23.75NE 5 mph
DET Jahmyr Gibbs RB 20.8, Jared Goff QB 17.8, Amon-Ra St. Brown WR 14.9
CAR Bryce Young QB 18.6, Chuba Hubbard RB 11.8, Tetairoa McMillan WR 11.3
NE @ BUFSun Oct 4, 1:00p ETNew England Patriots at Buffalo Bills48.5no move since openBUF −6.5NE at BUF: unchanged since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 2:41 PM ET), checked 13 times — total 48.5, BUF −6.5.NE 21.0BUF 27.5SW 6 mph
BUF Josh Allen QB 21.4, James Cook RB 15.6, DJ Moore WR 9.2
DAL @ HOUSun Oct 4, 1:00p ETDallas Cowboys at Houston Texans48.0total unchangedHOU −3.0open HOU −2.5DAL at HOU: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 2:41 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 48.0 and the line moved from HOU −2.5 to HOU −3.0.DAL 22.5HOU 25.5Roof
DAL Dak Prescott QB 17.3, CeeDee Lamb WR 13.5, Javonte Williams RB 12.9
HOU C.J. Stroud QB 16.7, Nico Collins WR 13.5, David Montgomery RB 10.8
KC @ LVSun Oct 4, 4:25p ETKansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders48.0no move since openKC −4.5KC at LV: unchanged since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 2:41 PM ET), checked 13 times — total 48.0, KC −4.5.KC 26.25LV 21.75Dome
KC Patrick Mahomes QB 17.9, Kenneth Walker III RB 15.8, Rashee Rice WR 11.6
LV Kirk Cousins QB 18.1, Ashton Jeanty RB 16.2, Brock Bowers TE 15.0
DEN @ SFSun Oct 4, 4:25p ETDenver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers48.0open 46.5 · +1.5SF −2.5line unchangedDEN at SF: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 2:41 PM ET), the total moved from 46.5 to 48.0 (+1.5) and the line is unchanged at SF −2.5.DEN 22.75SF 25.25NW 1 mph
DEN Bo Nix QB 17.1, J.K. Dobbins RB 10.0, Jaylen Waddle WR 9.9
SF Brock Purdy QB 18.6, Christian McCaffrey RB 17.6, George Kittle TE 10.0
IND @ WASSun Oct 4, 9:30a ETIndianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders47.5open 47.0 · +0.5IND −4.0open IND −3.5IND at WAS: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 2:41 PM ET), the total moved from 47.0 to 47.5 (+0.5) and the line moved from IND −3.5 to IND −4.0.IND 25.75WAS 21.75WSW 8 mph
IND Jonathan Taylor RB 19.3, Daniel Jones QB 17.6, Tyler Warren TE 11.2
WAS Jayden Daniels QB 16.8, Marcus Mariota QB 16.0, Terry McLaurin WR 10.2
ATL @ NOMon Oct 5, 8:15p ETAtlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints47.5open 48.5 · −1.0NO −2.5line unchangedATL at NO: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 2:41 PM ET), the total moved from 48.5 to 47.5 (−1.0) and the line is unchanged at NO −2.5.ATL 22.5NO 25.0Dome
ATL Bijan Robinson RB 21.0, Michael Penix Jr. QB 17.2, Drake London WR 14.3
NO Tyler Shough QB 19.1, Chris Olave WR 14.0, Travis Etienne RB 11.7
ARI @ NYGSun Oct 4, 1:00p ETArizona Cardinals at New York Giants44.5total unchangedARI −2.5open ARI −1.0ARI at NYG: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 2:41 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 44.5 and the line moved from ARI −1.0 to ARI −2.5.ARI 23.5NYG 21.0SE 8 mph
ARI Jacoby Brissett QB 18.5, Trey McBride TE 13.8, Jeremiyah Love RB 13.3
NYG Jameis Winston QB 12.9, Cam Skattebo RB 11.8, Malik Nabers WR 9.7
TEN @ BALSun Oct 4, 1:00p ETTennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens43.5no move since openBAL −11.5TEN at BAL: unchanged since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 2:41 PM ET), checked 13 times — total 43.5, BAL −11.5.TEN 16.0BAL 27.5SE 6 mph
TEN Cam Ward QB 13.3, Tony Pollard RB 10.5, Carnell Tate WR 8.9
BAL Lamar Jackson QB 18.7, Derrick Henry RB 16.5, Zay Flowers WR 12.6
LAR @ PHISun Oct 4, 1:00p ETLos Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles43.5open 44.0 · −0.5LAR −3.0line unchangedLAR at PHI: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 2:41 PM ET), the total moved from 44.0 to 43.5 (−0.5) and the line is unchanged at LAR −3.0.LAR 23.25PHI 20.25SE 5 mph
LAR Matthew Stafford QB 17.5, Puka Nacua WR 15.8, Kyren Williams RB 12.6
PHI Jalen Hurts QB 16.8, Saquon Barkley RB 11.6, DeVonta Smith WR 11.5
NYJ @ CHISun Oct 4, 1:00p ETNew York Jets at Chicago Bears43.0total unchangedCHI −3.5open CHI −3.0NYJ at CHI: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 2:41 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 43.0 and the line moved from CHI −3.0 to CHI −3.5.NYJ 19.75CHI 23.25W 5 mph
NYJ Geno Smith QB 15.5, Breece Hall RB 12.5, Garrett Wilson WR 11.6
CHI Case Keenum QB 20.7, Caleb Williams QB 16.7, D'Andre Swift RB 12.9
LAC @ SEASun Oct 4, 4:25p ETLos Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks42.5open 43.0 · −0.5SEA −7.0line unchangedLAC at SEA: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 2:41 PM ET), the total moved from 43.0 to 42.5 (−0.5) and the line is unchanged at SEA −7.0.LAC 17.75SEA 24.75N 5 mph
LAC Justin Herbert QB 13.6, Omarion Hampton RB 10.7, Ladd McConkey WR 8.6
SEA Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR 18.4, Drew Lock QB 17.6, Sam Darnold QB 15.1
GB @ TBSun Oct 4, 1:00p ETGreen Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers39.5total unchangedGB −3.5open GB −4.0GB at TB: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 2:41 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 39.5 and the line moved from GB −4.0 to GB −3.5.GB 21.5TB 18.0SE 7 mph
GB Jordan Love QB 15.2, Christian Watson WR 11.0, Matthew Golden WR 8.2
TB Baker Mayfield QB 13.4, Bucky Irving RB 10.8, Emeka Egbuka WR 9.1
PIT @ CLEThu Oct 1, 8:15p ETPittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns38.5total unchangedPIT −3.0open PIT −2.5PIT at CLE: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 2:41 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 38.5 and the line moved from PIT −2.5 to PIT −3.0.PIT 20.75CLE 17.75SW 9 mph
PIT Aaron Rodgers QB 14.6, Jaylen Warren RB 11.6, Rico Dowdle RB 8.8
MIA @ MINSun Oct 4, 4:05p ETMiami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings38.5total unchangedMIN −10.5open MIN −11.0MIA at MIN: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 2:41 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 38.5 and the line moved from MIN −11.0 to MIN −10.5.MIA 14.0MIN 24.5Dome
MIA Malik Willis QB 13.0, Malik Washington WR 6.7, Caleb Douglas WR 6.7
MIN Carson Wentz QB 15.1, Kyler Murray QB 13.5, Justin Jefferson WR 12.1
Week 5 — 15 games
BUF @ LARMon Oct 12, 8:15p ETBuffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams53.0no move since openLAR −2.5BUF at LAR: unchanged since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), checked 12 times — total 53.0, LAR −2.5.BUF 25.25LAR 27.75Dome
BUF no projection for BUF in this game
LAR no projection for LAR in this game
DET @ ARISun Oct 11, 4:25p ETDetroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals52.5no move since openDET −5.5DET at ARI: unchanged since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), checked 12 times — total 52.5, DET −5.5.DET 29.0ARI 23.5Roof
DET no projection for DET in this game
ARI no projection for ARI in this game
BAL @ ATLSun Oct 11, 8:20p ETBaltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons49.5total unchangedBAL −6.5open BAL −6.0BAL at ATL: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 49.5 and the line moved from BAL −6.0 to BAL −6.5.BAL 28.0ATL 21.5Roof
BAL no projection for BAL in this game
ATL no projection for ATL in this game
SF @ SEASun Oct 11, 4:25p ETSan Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks47.5open 47.0 · +0.5SEA −3.5line unchangedSF at SEA: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 47.0 to 47.5 (+0.5) and the line is unchanged at SEA −3.5.SF 22.0SEA 25.5Outdoor · no fcst
SF no projection for SF in this game
SEA no projection for SEA in this game
TB @ DALThu Oct 8, 8:15p ETTampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys47.0no move since openDAL −9.5TB at DAL: unchanged since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), checked 12 times — total 47.0, DAL −9.5.TB 18.75DAL 28.25Roof
TB no projection for TB in this game
DAL no projection for DAL in this game
CIN @ MIASun Oct 11, 1:00p ETCincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins46.5no move since openCIN −9.0CIN at MIA: unchanged since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), checked 12 times — total 46.5, CIN −9.0.CIN 27.75MIA 18.75Outdoor · no fcst
CIN no projection for CIN in this game
MIA no projection for MIA in this game
CHI @ GBSun Oct 11, 1:00p ETChicago Bears at Green Bay Packers45.5total unchangedGB −2.5open GB −2.0CHI at GB: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 45.5 and the line moved from GB −2.0 to GB −2.5.CHI 21.5GB 24.0Outdoor · no fcst
CHI no projection for CHI in this game
GB no projection for GB in this game
PHI @ JAXSun Oct 11, 9:30a ETPhiladelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars45.0open 44.0 · +1.0JAX −2.5line unchangedPHI at JAX: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 44.0 to 45.0 (+1.0) and the line is unchanged at JAX −2.5.PHI 21.25JAX 23.75Outdoor · no fcst
PHI no projection for PHI in this game
JAX no projection for JAX in this game
MIN @ NOSun Oct 11, 1:00p ETMinnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints45.0total unchangedMIN −1.5open MIN −2.5MIN at NO: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 45.0 and the line moved from MIN −2.5 to MIN −1.5.MIN 23.25NO 21.75Dome
MIN no projection for MIN in this game
NO no projection for NO in this game
LV @ NESun Oct 11, 1:00p ETLas Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots44.0total unchangedNE −3.5open NE −3.0LV at NE: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 44.0 and the line moved from NE −3.0 to NE −3.5.LV 20.25NE 23.75Outdoor · no fcst
LV no projection for LV in this game
NE no projection for NE in this game
IND @ PITSun Oct 11, 1:00p ETIndianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers44.0total unchangedPIT −2.5open PIT −1.5IND at PIT: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 44.0 and the line moved from PIT −1.5 to PIT −2.5.IND 20.75PIT 23.25Outdoor · no fcst
IND no projection for IND in this game
PIT no projection for PIT in this game
NYG @ WASSun Oct 11, 1:00p ETNew York Giants at Washington Commanders43.5total unchangedWAS −2.5open WAS −3.0NYG at WAS: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 43.5 and the line moved from WAS −3.0 to WAS −2.5.NYG 20.5WAS 23.0Outdoor · no fcst
NYG no projection for NYG in this game
WAS no projection for WAS in this game
DEN @ LACSun Oct 11, 4:05p ETDenver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers43.5total unchangedDEN −2.0open DEN −1.5DEN at LAC: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 43.5 and the line moved from DEN −1.5 to DEN −2.0.DEN 22.75LAC 20.75Dome
DEN no projection for DEN in this game
LAC no projection for LAC in this game
CLE @ NYJSun Oct 11, 1:00p ETCleveland Browns at New York Jets39.5no move since openNYJ −2.5CLE at NYJ: unchanged since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), checked 12 times — total 39.5, NYJ −2.5.CLE 18.5NYJ 21.0Outdoor · no fcst
CLE no projection for CLE in this game
NYJ no projection for NYJ in this game
HOU @ TENSun Oct 11, 1:00p ETHouston Texans at Tennessee Titans38.5no move since openHOU −6.5HOU at TEN: unchanged since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), checked 12 times — total 38.5, HOU −6.5.HOU 22.5TEN 16.0Outdoor · no fcst
HOU no projection for HOU in this game
TEN no projection for TEN in this game

Forecast pulled from the National Weather Service and, for games outside the US, MET Norway — 12 of 31 games are inside the 7-day window, which reaches Wed, Oct 7, 5:00 AM ET in the US. Forecasts for games outside the US: MET Norway (the Norwegian Meteorological Institute), licensed CC BY 4.0 — converted to mph and °F and rounded; MET publishes an expected amount of precipitation there, not a chance.

How to read a row. “Total” is the game over/under, the number the board sorts by; “Implied” splits it into what each side is expected to score (the same formula the calculator runs). “Line” is the favorite and its spread. Under a dome or a closed roof the weather is out of it; outdoors, “Wind” flags a kickoff forecast of 15 mph or more and “Gusts” gusts of 25 mph or more.

“Open” means our first snapshot, not the sportsbooks’ opening line. A game enters our history the first time our scheduled refresh saw it priced, which is usually after books had already opened and moved it — so the movement shown here is real, but it understates the full move. We have been saving these snapshots since . A game with one snapshot says “first snapshot”; a line that has not changed since says so; a game we have no history for says that instead.

Top projected are the best half-PPR projections on each side of the game from our own transparent formula, not picks. A trailing Q or D is a Questionable or Doubtful designation. Projections lean on Fantasy Football Calculator draft-season ADP as a starting point.

Every game still to play this week, highest over/under first. A high total means the market expects both offenses to score, which is the fastest read on which games are worth stacking and which are a punt-fest. For a ranking of the teams themselves, see the implied team totals board.

Method

How each number is built

The lines are a consensus, not a quote. For each game we take the median total and the median spread across the sportsbooks that priced both markets and snap them to the half point. That is deliberately a derived number: no single book is named on this page, and nothing here is offered as a price you can bet.

Both implied totals come from those two numbers. A team's implied total is (game total − its line) ÷ 2, and the other side gets the remainder.

Worked example, straight off the board above. JAX @ CIN has the highest total on the board, 51.5, and the line is CIN −2.5. The favorite's implied total is (51.5 + 2.5) ÷ 2 = 27.0 for CIN, and the other side gets the remainder: 51.5 − 27.0 = 24.5.

Movement is our own history. Each scheduled refresh saves the consensus total and spread it sees for every game that has not kicked off, and keeps a new snapshot only when the line has changed. The board compares the line now with the first one we saved. It is not the sportsbooks' opening line — books post and move a game before our first refresh sees it — so read it as "moved since we started watching", not "moved since the market opened". The full log is at /data/odds-history-2026.json.

The honest part

What this board can't tell you

Lines move all week. Injuries, weather and money push totals and spreads right up to kickoff. This is a snapshot, and the stamp above the table says when it was pulled — worth a glance at your own book before a close call. Got a fresher number? Run it through the calculator and you get the same math on your line.

A game total is a game forecast, not a player projection. It says how many points there are to go around, not who gets them. The projected players on each row come from our own formula, and they are a place to start a start/sit decision, never the end of one.

This is a fantasy tool, not betting advice. FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice. Nothing here is a recommendation to place a wager, and we don't publish odds prices, book comparisons or picks.

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High total spotted? Now check the rest of the week.

The top of every weekly board on one page: Vegas implied totals, wind, DST and kicker streamers, waiver risers, injuries, soft matchups and byes.

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