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Weekly board

NFL game totals this week

Week 5: highest totals DET @ ARI 54.5 · BUF @ LAR 54.5 · SF @ SEA 46.0 — 14 of 14 lines have moved since our first snapshot; biggest total move BAL @ ATL −6.0.

The board

Games ranked by over/under

Lines as of — consensus of 9 sportsbooks. Lines move all week — this is one signal for lineup decisions, not betting advice.

Week 5 — 14 games

Week 6 — 14 games

  • BUF @ LV

    51.5Total

    • Line: BUF −4.5
    • Moved · total +0.5

    Implied totals

    BUFaway

    28.0

    LVhome

    23.5

    Since our first snapshot

    Total
    51.0 to 51.5 +0.5
    Line
    BUF −4.5 (unchanged)
  • ARI @ LAR

    50.5Total

    • Line: LAR −10.5

    Implied totals

    ARIaway

    20.0

    LARhome

    30.5

    Since our first snapshot

    No move since our first snapshot (checked 6 times).

  • DAL @ GB

    50.0Total

    • Line: DAL −2.0
    • Moved · total −1.5

    Implied totals

    DALaway

    26.0

    GBhome

    24.0

    Since our first snapshot

    Total
    51.5 to 50.0 −1.5
    Line
    DAL −2.0 (unchanged)
  • WAS @ SF

    49.5Total

    • Line: SF −7.5

    Implied totals

    WASaway

    21.0

    SFhome

    28.5

    Since our first snapshot

    No move since our first snapshot (checked 6 times).

  • CHI @ ATL

    48.5Total

    • Line: CHI −1.5
    • Moved · total +1.5

    Implied totals

    CHIaway

    25.0

    ATLhome

    23.5

    Since our first snapshot

    Total
    47.0 to 48.5 +1.5
    Line
    CHI −1.5 (unchanged)
  • LAC @ KC

    45.5Total

    • Line: KC −7.5
    • Moved · total +1.0

    Implied totals

    LACaway

    19.0

    KChome

    26.5

    Since our first snapshot

    Total
    44.5 to 45.5 +1.0
    Line
    KC −7.5 (unchanged)
  • NO @ NYG

    44.5Total

    • Line: NO −1.0
    • Moved · line

    Implied totals

    NOaway

    22.75

    NYGhome

    21.75

    Since our first snapshot

    Total
    44.5 (unchanged)
    Line
    NO −1.5 to NO −1.0
  • TEN @ IND

    43.5Total

    • Line: IND −6.5
    • Moved · line

    Implied totals

    TENaway

    18.5

    INDhome

    25.0

    Since our first snapshot

    Total
    43.5 (unchanged)
    Line
    IND −7.0 to IND −6.5
  • NYJ @ NE

    43.5Total

    • Line: NE −7.0
    • Moved · total +1.0

    Implied totals

    NYJaway

    18.25

    NEhome

    25.25

    Since our first snapshot

    Total
    42.5 to 43.5 +1.0
    Line
    NE −7.0 (unchanged)
  • HOU @ JAX

    43.0Total

    • Line: JAX −3.0

    Implied totals

    HOUaway

    20.0

    JAXhome

    23.0

    Since our first snapshot

    No move since our first snapshot (checked 6 times).

  • CAR @ PHI

    42.5Total

    • Line: PHI −1.5
    • Moved · line

    Implied totals

    CARaway

    20.5

    PHIhome

    22.0

    Since our first snapshot

    Total
    42.5 (unchanged)
    Line
    PHI −2.0 to PHI −1.5
  • SEA @ DEN

    42.0Total

    • Line: SEA −1.5
    • Moved · line

    Implied totals

    SEAaway

    21.75

    DENhome

    20.25

    Since our first snapshot

    Total
    42.0 (unchanged)
    Line
    SEA −2.0 to SEA −1.5
  • BAL @ CLE

    40.5Total

    • Line: BAL −3.0
    • Moved · total +0.5 · line

    Implied totals

    BALaway

    21.75

    CLEhome

    18.75

    Since our first snapshot

    Total
    40.0 to 40.5 +0.5
    Line
    BAL −2.5 to BAL −3.0
  • PIT @ TB

    39.0Total

    • Line: PIT −2.5

    Implied totals

    PITaway

    20.75

    TBhome

    18.25

    Since our first snapshot

    No move since our first snapshot (checked 6 times).

The same games in one table

Adds the venue and forecast wind, and puts every number in one grid.

Swipe for implied totals, wind and the top projected players

28 NFL games still to play, highest game total first, with how the total and the line have moved since our first snapshot, both implied totals, venue and forecast wind, and the top projected players on each side.
GameTotalvs openLineopenImpliedVenue · windTop projected (half-PPR)
Week 5 — 14 games
DET @ ARISun Oct 11, 4:25p ETDetroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals54.5open 52.5 · +2.0DET −5.5line unchangedDET at ARI: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 52.5 to 54.5 (+2.0) and the line is unchanged at DET −5.5.DET 30.0ARI 24.5Roof
DET Jahmyr Gibbs RB 21.5, Jared Goff QB 18.6, Amon-Ra St. Brown WR 15.1
ARI Jacoby Brissett QB 18.9, Trey McBride TE 14.5, Michael Wilson WR 12.6
BUF @ LARMon Oct 12, 8:15p ETBuffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams54.5open 53.0 · +1.5LAR −3.0open LAR −2.5BUF at LAR: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 53.0 to 54.5 (+1.5) and the line moved from LAR −2.5 to LAR −3.0.BUF 25.75LAR 28.75Dome
BUF Josh Allen QB 20.4, James Cook RB 14.7, DJ Moore WR 8.6
LAR Matthew Stafford QB 20.3, Puka Nacua WR 16.8, Kyren Williams RB 16.1
SF @ SEASun Oct 11, 4:25p ETSan Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks46.0open 47.0 · −1.0SEA −3.0open SEA −3.5SF at SEA: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 47.0 to 46.0 (−1.0) and the line moved from SEA −3.5 to SEA −3.0.SF 21.5SEA 24.5N 7 mph
SF Brock Purdy QB 17.0, Christian McCaffrey RB 15.9, George Kittle TE 9.4
SEA Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR 18.0, Drew Lock QB 16.0, Sam Darnold QB 15.3
CHI @ GBSun Oct 11, 1:00p ETChicago Bears at Green Bay Packers45.5total unchangedCHI −1.0open GB −2.0CHI at GB: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 45.5 and the line moved from GB −2.0 to CHI −1.0.CHI 23.25GB 22.25SSW 9 mph
CHI Caleb Williams QB 16.9, Case Keenum QB 16.6, D'Andre Swift RB 12.6
GB Jordan Love QB 16.2, Christian Watson WR 10.9, Matthew Golden WR 8.8
LV @ NESun Oct 11, 1:00p ETLas Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots45.0open 44.0 · +1.0NE −3.5open NE −3.0LV at NE: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 44.0 to 45.0 (+1.0) and the line moved from NE −3.0 to NE −3.5.LV 20.75NE 24.25SW 8 mph
LV Kirk Cousins QB 16.4, Ashton Jeanty RB 15.2, Brock Bowers TE 13.8
IND @ PITSun Oct 11, 1:00p ETIndianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers44.0total unchangedPIT −2.5open PIT −1.5IND at PIT: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 44.0 and the line moved from PIT −1.5 to PIT −2.5.IND 20.75PIT 23.25E 12 mphGusts 26
IND Jonathan Taylor RB 16.6, Daniel Jones QB 12.5, Tyler Warren TE 9.5
PIT Aaron Rodgers QB 17.8, Jaylen Warren RB 13.2, DK Metcalf WR 9.4
BAL @ ATLSun Oct 11, 8:20p ETBaltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons43.5open 49.5 · −6.0ATL −3.0open BAL −6.0BAL at ATL: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 49.5 to 43.5 (−6.0) and the line moved from BAL −6.0 to ATL −3.0.BAL 20.25ATL 23.25Roof
BAL Lamar Jackson QB 16.0, Derrick Henry RB 13.6, Zay Flowers WR 12.8
ATL Bijan Robinson RB 20.5, Michael Penix Jr. QB 14.9, Drake London WR 13.8
CIN @ MIASun Oct 11, 1:00p ETCincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins42.5open 46.5 · −4.0CIN −6.5open CIN −9.0CIN at MIA: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 46.5 to 42.5 (−4.0) and the line moved from CIN −9.0 to CIN −6.5.CIN 24.5MIA 18.0SE 10 mph
CIN Joe Burrow QB 17.5, Chase Brown RB 13.4, Ja'Marr Chase WR 13.3
MIA Malik Willis QB 14.9, Ollie Gordon II RB 9.6, Malik Washington WR 8.5
PHI @ JAXSun Oct 11, 9:30a ETPhiladelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars42.0open 44.0 · −2.0JAX −7.5open JAX −2.5PHI at JAX: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 44.0 to 42.0 (−2.0) and the line moved from JAX −2.5 to JAX −7.5.PHI 17.25JAX 24.75S 10 mph
PHI Jalen Hurts QB 15.5, DeVonta Smith WR 10.9, Saquon Barkley RB 10.4
MIN @ NOSun Oct 11, 1:00p ETMinnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints42.0open 45.0 · −3.0MIN −2.5line unchangedMIN at NO: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 45.0 to 42.0 (−3.0) and the line is unchanged at MIN −2.5.MIN 22.25NO 19.75Dome
MIN Carson Wentz QB 14.6, Kyler Murray QB 13.2, Justin Jefferson WR 12.4
NO Tyler Shough QB 15.3, Chris Olave WR 12.5, Alvin Kamara RB 8.3
NYG @ WASSun Oct 11, 1:00p ETNew York Giants at Washington Commanders42.0open 43.5 · −1.5WAS −4.0open WAS −3.0NYG at WAS: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 43.5 to 42.0 (−1.5) and the line moved from WAS −3.0 to WAS −4.0.NYG 19.0WAS 23.0E 12 mph
NYG Jameis Winston QB 11.7, Cam Skattebo RB 10.7, Malik Nabers WR 10.0
WAS Jayden Daniels QB 16.9, Athan Kaliakmanis QB 14.4, Marcus Mariota QB 12.8
DEN @ LACSun Oct 11, 4:05p ETDenver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers42.0open 43.5 · −1.5DEN −3.5open DEN −1.5DEN at LAC: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 43.5 to 42.0 (−1.5) and the line moved from DEN −1.5 to DEN −3.5.DEN 22.75LAC 19.25Dome
DEN Bo Nix QB 16.1, Jaylen Waddle WR 9.3, J.K. Dobbins RB 9.3
LAC Justin Herbert QB 14.4, Omarion Hampton RB 11.0, Ladd McConkey WR 7.9
CLE @ NYJSun Oct 11, 1:00p ETCleveland Browns at New York Jets39.5total unchangedNYJ −2.0open NYJ −2.5CLE at NYJ: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 39.5 and the line moved from NYJ −2.5 to NYJ −2.0.CLE 18.75NYJ 20.75S 8 mph
NYJ Geno Smith QB 15.0, Breece Hall RB 12.6, Garrett Wilson WR 11.0
HOU @ TENSun Oct 11, 1:00p ETHouston Texans at Tennessee Titans38.0open 38.5 · −0.5HOU −7.5open HOU −6.5HOU at TEN: since our first snapshot (Tue, Sep 29, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 38.5 to 38.0 (−0.5) and the line moved from HOU −6.5 to HOU −7.5.HOU 22.75TEN 15.25WSW 10 mph
HOU C.J. Stroud QB 15.0, Nico Collins WR 12.9, David Montgomery RB 9.2
TEN Cam Ward QB 12.8, Tony Pollard RB 11.3, Carnell Tate WR 10.2
Week 6 — 14 games
BUF @ LVSun Oct 18, 4:25p ETBuffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders51.5open 51.0 · +0.5BUF −4.5line unchangedBUF at LV: since our first snapshot (Tue, Oct 6, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 51.0 to 51.5 (+0.5) and the line is unchanged at BUF −4.5.BUF 28.0LV 23.5Dome
BUF no projection for BUF in this game
LV no projection for LV in this game
ARI @ LARSun Oct 18, 4:05p ETArizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams50.5no move since openLAR −10.5ARI at LAR: unchanged since our first snapshot (Tue, Oct 6, 4:37 PM ET), checked 6 times — total 50.5, LAR −10.5.ARI 20.0LAR 30.5Dome
ARI no projection for ARI in this game
LAR no projection for LAR in this game
DAL @ GBSun Oct 18, 8:20p ETDallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers50.0open 51.5 · −1.5DAL −2.0line unchangedDAL at GB: since our first snapshot (Tue, Oct 6, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 51.5 to 50.0 (−1.5) and the line is unchanged at DAL −2.0.DAL 26.0GB 24.0Outdoor · no fcst
DAL no projection for DAL in this game
GB no projection for GB in this game
WAS @ SFMon Oct 19, 8:15p ETWashington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers49.5no move since openSF −7.5WAS at SF: unchanged since our first snapshot (Tue, Oct 6, 4:37 PM ET), checked 6 times — total 49.5, SF −7.5.WAS 21.0SF 28.5Outdoor · no fcst
WAS no projection for WAS in this game
SF no projection for SF in this game
CHI @ ATLSun Oct 18, 1:00p ETChicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons48.5open 47.0 · +1.5CHI −1.5line unchangedCHI at ATL: since our first snapshot (Tue, Oct 6, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 47.0 to 48.5 (+1.5) and the line is unchanged at CHI −1.5.CHI 25.0ATL 23.5Roof
CHI no projection for CHI in this game
ATL no projection for ATL in this game
LAC @ KCSun Oct 18, 4:25p ETLos Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs45.5open 44.5 · +1.0KC −7.5line unchangedLAC at KC: since our first snapshot (Tue, Oct 6, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 44.5 to 45.5 (+1.0) and the line is unchanged at KC −7.5.LAC 19.0KC 26.5Outdoor · no fcst
LAC no projection for LAC in this game
KC no projection for KC in this game
NO @ NYGSun Oct 18, 1:00p ETNew Orleans Saints at New York Giants44.5total unchangedNO −1.0open NO −1.5NO at NYG: since our first snapshot (Tue, Oct 6, 4:37 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 44.5 and the line moved from NO −1.5 to NO −1.0.NO 22.75NYG 21.75Outdoor · no fcst
NO no projection for NO in this game
NYG no projection for NYG in this game
TEN @ INDSun Oct 18, 1:00p ETTennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts43.5total unchangedIND −6.5open IND −7.0TEN at IND: since our first snapshot (Tue, Oct 6, 4:37 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 43.5 and the line moved from IND −7.0 to IND −6.5.TEN 18.5IND 25.0Roof
TEN no projection for TEN in this game
IND no projection for IND in this game
NYJ @ NESun Oct 18, 1:00p ETNew York Jets at New England Patriots43.5open 42.5 · +1.0NE −7.0line unchangedNYJ at NE: since our first snapshot (Tue, Oct 6, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 42.5 to 43.5 (+1.0) and the line is unchanged at NE −7.0.NYJ 18.25NE 25.25Outdoor · no fcst
NYJ no projection for NYJ in this game
NE no projection for NE in this game
HOU @ JAXSun Oct 18, 9:30a ETHouston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars43.0no move since openJAX −3.0HOU at JAX: unchanged since our first snapshot (Tue, Oct 6, 4:37 PM ET), checked 6 times — total 43.0, JAX −3.0.HOU 20.0JAX 23.0Outdoor · no fcst
HOU no projection for HOU in this game
JAX no projection for JAX in this game
CAR @ PHISun Oct 18, 1:00p ETCarolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles42.5total unchangedPHI −1.5open PHI −2.0CAR at PHI: since our first snapshot (Tue, Oct 6, 4:37 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 42.5 and the line moved from PHI −2.0 to PHI −1.5.CAR 20.5PHI 22.0Outdoor · no fcst
CAR no projection for CAR in this game
PHI no projection for PHI in this game
SEA @ DENThu Oct 15, 8:15p ETSeattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos42.0total unchangedSEA −1.5open SEA −2.0SEA at DEN: since our first snapshot (Tue, Oct 6, 4:37 PM ET), the total is unchanged at 42.0 and the line moved from SEA −2.0 to SEA −1.5.SEA 21.75DEN 20.25Outdoor · no fcst
SEA no projection for SEA in this game
DEN no projection for DEN in this game
BAL @ CLESun Oct 18, 1:00p ETBaltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns40.5open 40.0 · +0.5BAL −3.0open BAL −2.5BAL at CLE: since our first snapshot (Tue, Oct 6, 4:37 PM ET), the total moved from 40.0 to 40.5 (+0.5) and the line moved from BAL −2.5 to BAL −3.0.BAL 21.75CLE 18.75Outdoor · no fcst
BAL no projection for BAL in this game
CLE no projection for CLE in this game
PIT @ TBSun Oct 18, 1:00p ETPittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers39.0no move since openPIT −2.5PIT at TB: unchanged since our first snapshot (Tue, Oct 6, 4:37 PM ET), checked 6 times — total 39.0, PIT −2.5.PIT 20.75TB 18.25Outdoor · no fcst
PIT no projection for PIT in this game
TB no projection for TB in this game

Forecast pulled from the National Weather Service — 9 of 28 games are inside its 7-day window, which reaches Thu, Oct 15, 8:00 AM ET.

How to read a row. “Total” is the game over/under, the number the board sorts by; “Implied” splits it into what each side is expected to score (the same formula the calculator runs). “Line” is the favorite and its spread. Under a dome or a closed roof the weather is out of it; outdoors, “Wind” flags a kickoff forecast of 15 mph or more and “Gusts” gusts of 25 mph or more.

How to read a card. The bar splits the game total into the two implied totals, each side drawn as its share of the total, so the longer segment is the side expected to score more. A purple outline and a “Moved” tag mean the total or the line is not where our first snapshot had it; the small line chart is the total at each snapshot we saved, drawn to scale.

“Open” means our first snapshot, not the sportsbooks’ opening line. A game enters our history the first time our scheduled refresh saw it priced, which is usually after books had already opened and moved it — so the movement shown here is real, but it understates the full move. We have been saving these snapshots since . A game with one snapshot says “first snapshot”; a line that has not changed since says so; a game we have no history for says that instead.

Top projected are the best half-PPR projections on each side of the game from our own transparent formula, not picks. A trailing Q or D is a Questionable or Doubtful designation. Projections lean on Fantasy Football Calculator draft-season ADP as a starting point.

Every game still to play this week, highest over/under first. A high total means the market expects both offenses to score, which is the fastest read on which games are worth stacking and which are a punt-fest. For a ranking of the teams themselves, see the implied team totals board.

Method

How each number is built

The lines are a consensus, not a quote. For each game we take the median total and the median spread across the sportsbooks that priced both markets and snap them to the half point. That is deliberately a derived number: no single book is named on this page, and nothing here is offered as a price you can bet.

Both implied totals come from those two numbers. A team's implied total is (game total − its line) ÷ 2, and the other side gets the remainder.

Worked example, straight off the board above. DET @ ARI has the highest total on the board, 54.5, and the line is DET −5.5. The favorite's implied total is (54.5 + 5.5) ÷ 2 = 30.0 for DET, and the other side gets the remainder: 54.5 − 30.0 = 24.5.

Movement is our own history. Each scheduled refresh saves the consensus total and spread it sees for every game that has not kicked off, and keeps a new snapshot only when the line has changed. The board compares the line now with the first one we saved. It is not the sportsbooks' opening line — books post and move a game before our first refresh sees it — so read it as "moved since we started watching", not "moved since the market opened". The full log is at /data/odds-history-2026.json.

The honest part

What this board can't tell you

Lines move all week. Injuries, weather and money push totals and spreads right up to kickoff. This is a snapshot, and the stamp above the table says when it was pulled — worth a glance at your own book before a close call. Got a fresher number? Run it through the calculator and you get the same math on your line.

A game total is a game forecast, not a player projection. It says how many points there are to go around, not who gets them. The projected players on each row come from our own formula, and they are a place to start a start/sit decision, never the end of one.

This is a fantasy tool, not betting advice. FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice. Nothing here is a recommendation to place a wager, and we don't publish odds prices, book comparisons or picks.

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