Head to head · July 2026 draft-day read
Kyle Pitts or George Kittle?
George Kittle was the stronger 2025 producer — 12.1 vs 9.8 half-PPR points per game, at essentially the same July 2026 draft cost (ADP 94.2 vs 108.1). That gap was the draft-day case for George Kittle.
This week's projections are in the Week 6 start/sit card below. The July 2026 draft-day read that follows is opinion, framed from the cited 2025 data.
This week's start/sit · Half-PPR
Week 6: start Kyle Pitts or George Kittle?
Lean George Kittle over Kyle Pitts (2.8 pts).
In 2024–25, projection gaps this size went the higher player's way about 62% of the time.
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TE · SF
George Kittle
10.3 pts projected · range 5.6–17.8
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TE · ATL
Kyle Pitts
7.5 pts projected · range 2.8–15.0
2026 season · the games so far
2026 head-to-head so far
Through Week 5, George Kittle has out-scored Kyle Pitts by 11.4 PPR points per game, 14.4 to 2.9 (Kyle Pitts 4 games, George Kittle 5 games).
Through Week 5 · Week 5 in progress — 13 of 15 games final · nflverse stats as of
| Kyle Pitts | Metric | George Kittle |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 5 |
| 2.9 | PPR points per game | 14.4 |
| 10% | Target share | 21% |
| 2.3 | Targets per game | 5.6 |
| 53% | Snap share | 68% |
| 3.9 | PPR points per game, last 3 games | 16.9 |
Purple marks the higher figure. Shares are team-relative, averaged per game; snap share counts only games with a published snap count. "Last 3 games" is each player's own last 3 games played. A dash means no 2026 figure. 2026 regular season via nflverse.
Game by game: Kyle Pitts · George Kittle
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
Metric by metric
The tale of the tape
| Kyle Pitts | Metric | George Kittle |
|---|---|---|
| 94.2 (TE8) | Draft ADP (July 2026) | 108.1 (TE9) |
| 97 | Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 112 |
| 9.8 | Fantasy points / game | 12.1 |
| 22.7% | Target share | — |
| 23.8% | Target share, last 3 games (2025) | — |
| 73 | Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 83 |
Purple marks the better figure. A dash means the engine did not cite that metric for that player. 2025 regular season via nflverse · ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator, Jul 15, 2026 snapshot.
The consensus read
July 2026 drafts separated them by a hair — Kyle Pitts at ADP 94.2, George Kittle at ADP 108.1. On 2025 production it is 9.8 vs 12.1 half-PPR points per game.
What had to be true
This call flipped on beliefs that were checkable at the time. Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read.
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Checkpoint · Kyle Pitts
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
23.8% last 3 vs 22.7% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong move if you believed
Kyle Pitts's late-2025 target share is the new baseline, not a blip
Poor move if instead
Kyle Pitts's late-2025 target uptick is small-sample noise that reverts
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure here is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.