Head to head · July 2026 draft-day read
Ladd McConkey or Davante Adams?
Davante Adams was the stronger 2025 producer — 13.8 vs 9.2 half-PPR points per game, at essentially the same July 2026 draft cost (ADP 37 vs 38.1). That gap was the draft-day case for Davante Adams.
This week's projections are in the Week 5 start/sit card below. The July 2026 draft-day read that follows is opinion, framed from the cited 2025 data.
This week's start/sit · Half-PPR
Week 5: start Ladd McConkey or Davante Adams?
Start Davante Adams over Ladd McConkey (4.4 pts).
In 2024–25, projection gaps this size went the higher player's way about 68% of the time.
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WR · LAR
Davante Adams
12.3 pts projected · range 5.9–21.2
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WR · LAC
Ladd McConkey
7.9 pts projected · range 1.4–16.7
2026 season · the games so far
2026 head-to-head so far
Through Week 4, Davante Adams has out-scored Ladd McConkey by 9.2 PPR points per game, 18.3 to 9.1 (4 games each).
Through Week 4 · nflverse stats as of
| Ladd McConkey | Metric | Davante Adams |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 4 |
| 9.1 | PPR points per game | 18.3 |
| 15% | Target share | 25% |
| 4.3 | Targets per game | 9.5 |
| 54% | Snap share | 74% |
| 5.7 | PPR points per game, last 3 games | 22.5 |
Purple marks the higher figure. Shares are team-relative, averaged per game; snap share counts only games with a published snap count. "Last 3 games" is each player's own last 3 games played. A dash means no 2026 figure. 2026 regular season via nflverse.
Game by game: Ladd McConkey · Davante Adams
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
Metric by metric
The tale of the tape
| Ladd McConkey | Metric | Davante Adams |
|---|---|---|
| 37 (WR19) | Draft ADP (July 2026) | 38.1 (WR20) |
| 37 | Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 39 |
| 9.2 | Fantasy points / game | 13.8 |
| 21.1% | Target share | — |
| 13.1% | Target share, last 3 games (2025) | — |
| 41 | Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 46 |
Purple marks the better figure. A dash means the engine did not cite that metric for that player. 2025 regular season via nflverse · ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator, Jul 15, 2026 snapshot.
The consensus read
July 2026 drafts separated them by a hair — Ladd McConkey at ADP 37, Davante Adams at ADP 38.1. On 2025 production it is 9.2 vs 13.8 half-PPR points per game.
What had to be true
This call flipped on beliefs that were checkable at the time. Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read.
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Checkpoint · Ladd McConkey
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
13.1% last 3 vs 21.1% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong move if you believed
Ladd McConkey's late-2025 target dip was matchup noise, not a role change
Poor move if instead
Ladd McConkey's target share is fading from the season baseline
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure here is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.