Head to head · July 2026 draft-day read
Sam LaPorta or Kyle Pitts?
Sam LaPorta and Kyle Pitts are a near-tie on 2025 production (9.7 vs 9.8 half-PPR PPG). At matching July 2026 ADP, the pick came down to your roster build, not a market tiebreak.
This week's projections are in the Week 5 start/sit card below. The July 2026 draft-day read that follows is opinion, framed from the cited 2025 data.
This week's start/sit · Half-PPR
Week 5: start Sam LaPorta or Kyle Pitts?
Lean Sam LaPorta over Kyle Pitts (2.3 pts).
In 2024–25, projection gaps this size went the higher player's way about 62% of the time.
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TE · DET
Sam LaPorta
9.7 pts projected · range 5.0–17.2
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TE · ATL
Kyle Pitts
7.4 pts projected · range 2.7–14.9
2026 season · the games so far
2026 head-to-head so far
Through Week 4, Sam LaPorta has out-scored Kyle Pitts by 12.9 PPR points per game, 14.2 to 1.3 (Sam LaPorta 4 games, Kyle Pitts 3 games).
Through Week 4 · Week 4 in progress — 15 of 16 games final · nflverse stats as of
| Sam LaPorta | Metric | Kyle Pitts |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 3 |
| 14.2 | PPR points per game | 1.3 |
| 19% | Target share | 8% |
| 8.0 | Targets per game | 2.0 |
| 88% | Snap share | 53% |
| 15.7 | PPR points per game, last 3 games | 1.3 |
Purple marks the higher figure. Shares are team-relative, averaged per game; snap share counts only games with a published snap count. "Last 3 games" is each player's own last 3 games played. A dash means no 2026 figure. 2026 regular season via nflverse.
Game by game: Sam LaPorta · Kyle Pitts
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
Metric by metric
The tale of the tape
| Sam LaPorta | Metric | Kyle Pitts |
|---|---|---|
| 77.7 (TE7) | Draft ADP (July 2026) | 94.2 (TE8) |
| 79 | Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 97 |
| 9.7 | Fantasy points / game | 9.8 |
| 18.5% | Target share | — |
| 16.2% | Target share, last 3 games (2025) | — |
| 79 | Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 73 |
Purple marks the better figure. A dash means the engine did not cite that metric for that player. 2025 regular season via nflverse · ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator, Jul 15, 2026 snapshot.
The consensus read
July 2026 drafts separated them by a hair — Sam LaPorta at ADP 77.7, Kyle Pitts at ADP 94.2. On 2025 production it is 9.7 vs 9.8 half-PPR points per game.
What had to be true
This call flipped on beliefs that were checkable at the time. Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read.
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Checkpoint · Sam LaPorta
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
16.2% last 3 vs 18.5% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong move if you believed
Sam LaPorta's late-2025 target dip was matchup noise, not a role change
Poor move if instead
Sam LaPorta's target share is fading from the season baseline
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure here is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.