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Head to head · July 2026 draft-day read

Tony Pollard or Rhamondre Stevenson?

Rhamondre Stevenson was the stronger 2025 producer — 11.6 vs 10.0 half-PPR points per game, at essentially the same July 2026 draft cost (ADP 71.3 vs 77.2). That gap was the draft-day case for Rhamondre Stevenson.

This week's projections are in the Week 9 start/sit card below. The July 2026 draft-day read that follows is opinion, framed from the cited 2025 data.

high confidence Running back · Half-PPR · draft ADP as of Jul 15, 2026

This week's start/sit · Half-PPR

Week 9: start Tony Pollard or Rhamondre Stevenson?

Rhamondre Stevenson by default: Tony Pollard is on bye in Week 9.

Rhamondre Stevenson projects for 10.6 pts.

  • RB · NE

    Rhamondre Stevenson

    10.6 pts projected · range 3.4–19.6

  • Can't start · Bye

    Tony Pollard

    TEN is on bye in Week 9 — can't start.

Compare them in the start/sit tool

2026 season · the games so far

2026 head-to-head so far

Through Week 8, Tony Pollard has out-scored Rhamondre Stevenson by 2.2 PPR points per game, 14.6 to 12.4 (8 games each).

Through Week 8 · Week 8 in progress — 13 of 14 games final · nflverse stats as of

Tony Pollard · Week 8 injury report Injury report — not injury related: resting player, full practice

Tony Pollard vs Rhamondre Stevenson, 2026 regular season through Week 8
Tony Pollard Metric Rhamondre Stevenson
8 Games 8
14.6 PPR points per game 12.4
16.6 Carries per game 12.0
9% Target share 12%
62% Snap share 65%
24.3 PPR points per game, last 3 games 12.7

Purple marks the higher figure. Shares are team-relative, averaged per game; snap share counts only games with a published snap count. "Last 3 games" is each player's own last 3 games played. A dash means no 2026 figure. 2026 regular season via nflverse.

Game by game: Tony Pollard · Rhamondre Stevenson

Draft-day record · July 2026

The July 2026 draft-day read

This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools

Metric by metric

The tale of the tape

Tony Pollard vs Rhamondre Stevenson — cited metrics
Tony Pollard Metric Rhamondre Stevenson
71.3 (RB28) Draft ADP (July 2026) 77.2 (RB29)
73 Overall ADP rank (July 2026) 77
10.0 Fantasy points / game 11.6
7.6% Target share —
4.9% Target share, last 3 games (2025) —
63 Sleeper search rank (July 2026) 58

Purple marks the better figure. A dash means the engine did not cite that metric for that player. 2025 regular season via nflverse · ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator, Jul 15, 2026 snapshot.

Chalk

The consensus read

July 2026 drafts separated them by a hair — Tony Pollard at ADP 71.3, Rhamondre Stevenson at ADP 77.2. On 2025 production it is 10.0 vs 11.6 half-PPR points per game.

Sharp

What had to be true

This call flipped on beliefs that were checkable at the time. Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read.

  • Checkpoint · Tony Pollard

    Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)

    4.9% last 3 vs 7.6% season (2025) · as of July 2026

    Strong move if you believed

    Tony Pollard's late-2025 target dip was matchup noise, not a role change

    Poor move if instead

    Tony Pollard's target share is fading from the season baseline

Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure here is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).

FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.

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