Head to head · July 2026 draft-day read
Tony Pollard or Rhamondre Stevenson?
Rhamondre Stevenson was the stronger 2025 producer — 11.6 vs 10.0 half-PPR points per game, at essentially the same July 2026 draft cost (ADP 71.3 vs 77.2). That gap was the draft-day case for Rhamondre Stevenson.
This week's projections are in the Week 5 start/sit card below. The July 2026 draft-day read that follows is opinion, framed from the cited 2025 data.
This week's start/sit · Half-PPR
Week 5: start Tony Pollard or Rhamondre Stevenson?
Slight lean: Tony Pollard over Rhamondre Stevenson (1.6 pts).
In 2024–25, projection gaps this size went the higher player's way about 57% of the time.
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RB · TEN
Tony Pollard
12.0 pts projected · range 4.8–20.9
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RB · NE
Rhamondre Stevenson
10.4 pts projected · range 3.2–19.3
2026 season · the games so far
2026 head-to-head so far
Through Week 4, Rhamondre Stevenson has out-scored Tony Pollard by 1.2 PPR points per game, 10.8 to 9.6 (4 games each).
Through Week 4 · Week 4 in progress — 15 of 16 games final · nflverse stats as of
Tony Pollard · Week 4 injury report Injury report — foot, full practice
| Tony Pollard | Metric | Rhamondre Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 4 |
| 9.6 | PPR points per game | 10.8 |
| 13.5 | Carries per game | 11.0 |
| 10% | Target share | 13% |
| 53% | Snap share | 60% |
| 11.4 | PPR points per game, last 3 games | 9.6 |
Purple marks the higher figure. Shares are team-relative, averaged per game; snap share counts only games with a published snap count. "Last 3 games" is each player's own last 3 games played. A dash means no 2026 figure. 2026 regular season via nflverse.
Game by game: Tony Pollard · Rhamondre Stevenson
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
Metric by metric
The tale of the tape
| Tony Pollard | Metric | Rhamondre Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3 (RB28) | Draft ADP (July 2026) | 77.2 (RB29) |
| 73 | Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 77 |
| 10.0 | Fantasy points / game | 11.6 |
| 7.6% | Target share | — |
| 4.9% | Target share, last 3 games (2025) | — |
| 63 | Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 58 |
Purple marks the better figure. A dash means the engine did not cite that metric for that player. 2025 regular season via nflverse · ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator, Jul 15, 2026 snapshot.
The consensus read
July 2026 drafts separated them by a hair — Tony Pollard at ADP 71.3, Rhamondre Stevenson at ADP 77.2. On 2025 production it is 10.0 vs 11.6 half-PPR points per game.
What had to be true
This call flipped on beliefs that were checkable at the time. Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read.
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Checkpoint · Tony Pollard
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
4.9% last 3 vs 7.6% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong move if you believed
Tony Pollard's late-2025 target dip was matchup noise, not a role change
Poor move if instead
Tony Pollard's target share is fading from the season baseline
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure here is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.