Head to head · July 2026 draft-day read
Tucker Kraft or Harold Fannin?
Tucker Kraft was the stronger 2025 producer — 12.6 vs 9.4 half-PPR points per game, at essentially the same July 2026 draft cost (ADP 76.5 vs 77.7). That gap was the draft-day case for Tucker Kraft.
This week's projections are in the Week 5 start/sit card below. The July 2026 draft-day read that follows is opinion, framed from the cited 2025 data.
This week's start/sit · Half-PPR
Week 5: start Tucker Kraft or Harold Fannin?
Coin flip: Harold Fannin Jr. and Tucker Kraft are 0.6 pts apart.
In 2024–25, projection gaps under 1 point went the higher player's way about 52% of the time — close to a coin toss.
What does differ: Harold Fannin Jr. has the higher floor (4.6 vs 4.0) and GB is implied for more points (22.3 vs CLE's 18.8).
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TE · CLE
Harold Fannin Jr.
9.3 pts projected · range 4.6–16.8
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TE · GB
Tucker Kraft
8.7 pts projected · range 4.0–16.1
2026 season · the games so far
2026 head-to-head so far
Through Week 4, Harold Fannin has out-scored Tucker Kraft by 3.5 PPR points per game, 12.6 to 9.0 (4 games each).
Through Week 4 · nflverse stats as of
| Tucker Kraft | Metric | Harold Fannin |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 4 |
| 9.0 | PPR points per game | 12.6 |
| 16% | Target share | 20% |
| 6.0 | Targets per game | 5.8 |
| 83% | Snap share | 86% |
| 8.9 | PPR points per game, last 3 games | 15.4 |
Purple marks the higher figure. Shares are team-relative, averaged per game; snap share counts only games with a published snap count. "Last 3 games" is each player's own last 3 games played. A dash means no 2026 figure. 2026 regular season via nflverse.
Game by game: Tucker Kraft · Harold Fannin
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
Metric by metric
The tale of the tape
| Tucker Kraft | Metric | Harold Fannin |
|---|---|---|
| 76.5 (TE5) | Draft ADP (July 2026) | 77.7 (TE6) |
| 75 | Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 78 |
| 12.6 | Fantasy points / game | 9.4 |
| 19.0% | Target share | — |
| 23.3% | Target share, last 3 games (2025) | — |
| 63 | Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 63 |
Purple marks the better figure. A dash means the engine did not cite that metric for that player. 2025 regular season via nflverse · ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator, Jul 15, 2026 snapshot.
The consensus read
July 2026 drafts separated them by a hair — Tucker Kraft at ADP 76.5, Harold Fannin at ADP 77.7. On 2025 production it is 12.6 vs 9.4 half-PPR points per game.
What had to be true
This call flipped on beliefs that were checkable at the time. Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read.
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Checkpoint · Tucker Kraft
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
23.3% last 3 vs 19.0% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong move if you believed
Tucker Kraft's late-2025 target share is the new baseline, not a blip
Poor move if instead
Tucker Kraft's late-2025 target spike is small-sample noise that reverts
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure here is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.