Brian Robinson: 2026 Fantasy Football Stats
Brian Robinson has played 3 of ATL's 3 games through Week 3, averaging 7.6 PPR points.
Box-score numbers, plus this week's projection where there is one: no draft read, no advice.
Not on the Week 4 injury report.
Brian Robinson
RB · Atlanta Falcons
This week · Week 4
Projected 6.3 half-PPR points in Week 4, with a likely range of 0.0 to 15.3.
at NO · Mon 8:15 PM ET
Forecast 6.3 Half-PPR points: the Vegas line adds 0.4, the matchup nothing. Show how it is built.
| Step | Points | Running total |
|---|---|---|
| Baseline: His role and efficiency over 3 games, with his preseason RB46 ADP at 40% weight, at his usual line | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Vegas: ATL implied 22.5 vs 19.2 in his games | +0.4 | 6.3 |
| Matchup: NO 8th softest vs RB: already in the Vegas line | 0.0 | 6.3 |
| Availability: No designation, no teammate ruled out | 0.0 | 6.3 |
| Projection | 6.3 | 6.3 |
Each step is the change from switching that factor on, in this order, so the steps add up to the projection. The matchup adds nothing with a line: the model's backtest found the line already prices the defense.
- Context: ATL is implied for 22.5 points, tied for 18th-highest of 32 teams with a line this week.
- Helps: NO ranks 8th of 32 defenses in fantasy points allowed to RBs, where 1st allows the most (context, not in the projection).
- Context: played indoors, so weather is not a factor.
Season so far · through Week 3
- Half-PPR/g
- 7.3 half-PPR points a game over 3 games, 21.8 in all.
- PPR rank
- RB33 of 83 RBs with 2 or more games, by PPR points per game.
- Games
- 3 games with a stat line through Week 3.
- car/g
- 10.0 carries per team game this season.
PPR 22.8 (7.6/g) · Std 20.8 (6.9/g)
Game log · half-PPR
Half-PPR points by week, oldest first: Week 1 PIT 3.1, Week 2 CAR 7.7, Week 3 GB 11.0. Bye in Week 11.
This week · ATL at NO
Week 4 projection
- Half‑PPR
- 6.3
- PPR
- 6.7
- Standard
- 5.9
Range 0.0–15.3
Floor to ceiling in half-PPR points: the 10th to 90th percentile of how far past weeks landed from a projection like this one. About 4 in 5 landed inside it.
Projected line: 8.6 car · 38 rush yds · 0.86 rec · 6 rec yds · 0.26 TD
Show the math
- Volume
- 26% of ATL's carries × 28.2 a game · 3% of ATL's targets × 29.2 a game
- 8.1 carries · 1.0 targets
- Efficiency
- 80% catch · 5.7 yds/target · 4.3 yds/carry
- 0.8 rec · 41 yds
- Scoring chances
- 1.74 TD per 100 carries, 3.23 per 100 targets, from his red-zone usage
- 0.25 TD
- Vegas
- ATL implied 22.5 vs 19.2 in his games (×1.17)
- +8% volume, +37% TD rate
- Market prior
- Preseason RB46 in FFC ADP → 6.8 PPG, 40% weight at 3 games
- +0.3 half-PPR pts (6.0 → 6.3)
- Context (not in projection)
- NO allows 1.13× league RB points (rank 8 of 32)
| Opponent | at NOATL on the road |
|---|---|
| Kickoff | Mon 8:15 PM ET |
| Implied total | 22.5ATL · consensus line |
| NO vs RB | Allows the 8th-most fantasy points to RBs1.13× the league average · context — not in the projection |
| Red zone | 8% of ATL's carries inside the 201 of 12, through Week 3 · 1 TD |
| Rest of season | RB48 of 57 · 6.1 PPGHalf-PPR points per game, market prior included · 13 games left through Week 17 · bye in Week 11 |
Trade value 0 of 100
Redraft chart, Weeks 4–17, 12-team Half-PPR: at or below a replacement player, so about 0 in a trade.
See the trade value chart Put him in a trade
Compare him with another player
Built from stats through Week 3, consensus line as of Wed, Sep 30, 6:31 PM ET, Week 4 injury report. Game-day inactives are not in the model. Market prior: preseason ADP from Fantasy Football Calculator.
2026 season · the games so far
2026 so far
Through Week 3 · nflverse stats as of
- PPR pts / game
- 7.6
- RB rank
- RB33
- of 83 with 2+ games
- Games
- 3
- ATL
| Scoring | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Standard | 20.8 | 6.9 |
| Half-PPR | 21.8 | 7.3 |
| PPR | 22.8 | 7.6 |
RB rank is by PPR points per game among RBs with 2 or more games.
Game log
Swipe for every stat and the calculator link
| Wk | Opp | PPR pts | Carries | Rush yds | Rush TD | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Snap % | Calculator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | GB | 11.0 | 10 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27% | Score this game |
| 2 | CAR | 8.7 | 11 | 51 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 48% | Score this game |
| 1 | PIT | 3.1 | 9 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25% | Score this game |
PPR pts is nflverse's full-PPR total for the game. "Score this game" opens the fantasy point calculator with that exact line loaded, to re-score it in Standard, Half-PPR or your league's settings. A dash means nflverse has no figure for that game yet.
Usage trend
| Per game | Season (Wks 1–3) |
|---|---|
| Snap share | 33% |
| Carries per game | 10.0 |
| Targets per game | 0.7 |
| Target share | 2% |
| PPR points per game | 7.6 |
3 games so far, so there is no recent-vs-season split yet: it starts once he has played more than 3. Shares are team-relative and averaged per game.
Inside the 20
| Chances | His | Team share |
|---|---|---|
| Targets inside the 20 | 0 | 0% |
| Targets inside the 10 | 0 | 0% |
| Carries inside the 20 | 1 | 8% |
| Carries inside the 5 | 0 | 0% |
| Red-zone touchdowns | 1 | — |
Through Week 3, over 3 team games. Team share is his part of every target or carry his team had in that zone; a dash means it had none. Counted from nflverse play-by-play, the same way as the red zone board.
Sources: nflverse player stats, snap counts, play-by-play and the official injury report (CC-BY 4.0). Every figure in the game log, usage and red-zone blocks is a count, or an average of counts, from those files. A projection in the Week card above shows its own inputs and math. Opportunities are his pass attempts, carries and targets, divided by his team's games.
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Next step
Everything for Week 4, on one page.
The top of every weekly board on one page: Vegas implied totals, wind, DST and kicker streamers, waiver risers, injuries, soft matchups and byes.
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