Case Keenum: 2026 Fantasy Football Stats
Case Keenum has played 1 of CHI's 4 games through Week 4, averaging 24.5 PPR points.
Box-score numbers, plus this week's projection where there is one: no draft read, no advice.
Not on the Week 5 injury report.
Case Keenum
QB · Chicago Bears
This week · Week 5
Projected 16.7 half-PPR points in Week 5, with a likely range of 5.8 to 27.8.Limited data: only 1 2026 game behind this projection, so it leans on an undrafted QB's baseline (67% weight). Expect it to move.
at GB · Sun 1:00 PM ET
Forecast 16.7 Half-PPR points: the Vegas line adds 1.5, the matchup nothing. Show how it is built.
| Step | Points | Running total |
|---|---|---|
| Baseline: His role and efficiency over 1 game, pulled toward an undrafted QB's baseline at 67% weight, at his usual line | 15.2 | 15.2 |
| Vegas: CHI implied 23.3 vs 19.5 in his games | +1.5 | 16.7 |
| Matchup: GB 7th toughest vs QB: already in the Vegas line | 0.0 | 16.7 |
| Availability: No designation, no teammate ruled out | 0.0 | 16.7 |
| Projection | 16.7 | 16.7 |
Each step is the change from switching that factor on, in this order, so the steps add up to the projection. The matchup adds nothing with a line: the model's backtest found the line already prices the defense.
- Helps: CHI is implied for 23.3 points, tied for 9th-highest of 28 teams with a line this week.
- Hurts: GB ranks 26th of 32 defenses in fantasy points allowed to QBs, where 1st allows the most (context, not in the projection).
- Context: kickoff-hour forecast SSW 9 mph, under the 15 mph wind line.
Season so far · through Week 4
- Half-PPR/g
- 24.5 half-PPR points a game over 1 game, 24.5 in all.
- PPR rank
- Not ranked: a QB needs 2 or more games to be ranked.
- Games
- 1 game with a stat line through Week 4.
- pass yds/g
- 247 passing yards a game this season, over 1 game.
PPR 24.5 (24.5/g) · Std 24.5 (24.5/g)
Game log · half-PPR
Half-PPR points by week, oldest first: Week 1 did not play, Week 2 did not play, Week 3 PHI 24.5, Week 4 did not play. Bye in Week 10.
This week · CHI at GB
Week 5 projection
- Half‑PPR
- 16.6
- PPR
- 16.6
- Standard
- 16.6
Range 5.8–27.8
Floor to ceiling in half-PPR points: the 10th to 90th percentile of how far past weeks landed from a projection like this one. About 4 in 5 landed inside it.
Projected line: 27.0 att · 193 pass yds · 1.84 pass TD · 0.45 INT · 2.8 car · 11 rush yds · 0.28 rush TD
Show the math
- Volume
- 95% of CHI's pass attempts × 33.3 a game · 11% of CHI's carries × 29.6 a game
- 34.5 attempts · 3.6 carries
- Efficiency
- 7.1 yds/attempt
- 246 pass yds
- Scoring chances
- 4.86 TD per 100 attempts
- 2.71 TD
- Vegas
- CHI implied 23.3 vs 19.5 in his games (×1.19)
- +9% volume, +42% TD rate
- Market prior
- Preseason QB in FFC ADP → 14.4 PPG, 67% weight at 1 game
- −4.6 half-PPR pts (21.3 → 16.6)
- Context (not in projection)
- GB allows 0.92× league QB points (rank 26 of 32)
| Opponent | at GBCHI on the road |
|---|---|
| Kickoff | Sun 1:00 PM ET |
| Implied total | 23.3CHI · consensus line |
| Wind | No wind flagKickoff-hour forecast: SSW 9 mph |
| GB vs QB | Allows the 26th-most fantasy points to QBs0.92× the league average · context — not in the projection |
| Red zone | 2% of CHI's carries inside the 201 of 42, through Week 4 · 1 inside the 5 · 1 TD |
Compare him with another player
Built from stats through Week 4, consensus line as of Thu, Oct 8, 8:25 PM ET, Week 5 injury report. Game-day inactives are not in the model. Market prior: preseason ADP from Fantasy Football Calculator.
2026 season · the games so far
2026 so far
Through Week 4 · nflverse stats as of
- PPR pts / game
- 24.5
- QB rank
- —
- Needs 2+ games to rank
- Games
- 1
- CHI
| Scoring | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Standard | 24.5 | 24.5 |
| Half-PPR | 24.5 | 24.5 |
| PPR | 24.5 | 24.5 |
QB rank is by PPR points per game among QBs with 2 or more games.
Game log
Swipe for every stat and the calculator link
| Wk | Opp | PPR pts | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Carries | Rush yds | Rush TD | Snap % | Calculator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | NYJ | Did not play | ||||||||
| 3 | PHI | 24.5 | 247 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 100% | Score this game |
| 2 | MIN | Did not play | ||||||||
| 1 | CAR | Did not play | ||||||||
PPR pts is nflverse's full-PPR total for the game. "Score this game" opens the fantasy point calculator with that exact line loaded, to re-score it in Standard, Half-PPR or your league's settings. A dash means nflverse has no figure for that game yet. "Did not play" means his team played but nflverse has no stat line for him, which is usually an injury or an inactive game day; the injury designation shows only for the week the latest report covers.
Usage trend
| Per game | Season (Wk 3) |
|---|---|
| Snap share | 100% |
| Carries per game | 4.0 |
| PPR points per game | 24.5 |
One game so far, so there is no recent-vs-season split yet: it starts once he has played more than 3. Shares are team-relative and averaged per game.
Inside the 20
| Chances | His | Team share |
|---|---|---|
| Carries inside the 20 | 1 | 2% |
| Carries inside the 5 | 1 | 6% |
| Red-zone touchdowns | 1 | — |
Through Week 4, over 4 team games. Team share is his part of every target or carry his team had in that zone; a dash means it had none. Counted from nflverse play-by-play, the same way as the red zone board.
Sources: nflverse player stats, snap counts, play-by-play and the official injury report (CC-BY 4.0). Every figure in the game log, usage and red-zone blocks is a count, or an average of counts, from those files. A projection in the Week card above shows its own inputs and math. Opportunities are his pass attempts, carries and targets, divided by his team's games.
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Next step
Everything for Week 5, on one page.
The top of every weekly board on one page: Vegas implied totals, wind, DST and kicker streamers, waiver risers, injuries, soft matchups and byes.
Open the Week 5 cheat sheet