Deebo Samuel Sr.: 2026 Fantasy Football Stats
Deebo Samuel Sr. has played 3 of SF's 3 games through Week 3, averaging 13.3 PPR points.
Box-score numbers, plus this week's projection where there is one: no draft read, no advice.
Not on the Week 4 injury report.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
WR · San Francisco 49ers
This week · Week 4
Projected 8.6 half-PPR points in Week 4, with a likely range of 2.2 to 17.4.
vs DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ET
Forecast 8.6 Half-PPR points: the Vegas line nothing, the matchup nothing. Show how it is built.
| Step | Points | Running total |
|---|---|---|
| Baseline: His role and efficiency over 3 games, with his preseason WR50 ADP at 40% weight, at his usual line | 8.4 | 8.4 |
| Vegas: SF implied 25.3 vs 26.6 in his games | 0.0 | 8.4 |
| Matchup: DEN 6th toughest vs WR: already in the Vegas line | 0.0 | 8.4 |
| Availability: Demarcus Robinson ruled out: his share +5% | +0.2 | 8.6 |
| Projection | 8.6 | 8.6 |
Each step is the change from switching that factor on, in this order, so the steps add up to the projection. The matchup adds nothing with a line: the model's backtest found the line already prices the defense.
- Helps: SF is implied for 25.3 points, 8th-highest of 32 teams with a line this week.
- Hurts: DEN ranks 27th of 32 defenses in fantasy points allowed to WRs, where 1st allows the most (context, not in the projection).
- Context: kickoff-hour forecast NW 1 mph, under the 15 mph wind line.
Season so far · through Week 3
- Half-PPR/g
- 11.8 half-PPR points a game over 3 games, 35.4 in all.
- PPR rank
- WR21 of 131 WRs with 2 or more games, by PPR points per game.
- Games
- 3 games with a stat line through Week 3.
- tgt share
- 13.3% of his team's targets this season, per team game.
PPR 39.9 (13.3/g) · Std 30.9 (10.3/g)
Game log · half-PPR
Half-PPR points by week, oldest first: Week 1 LAR 15.0, Week 2 MIA 5.0, Week 3 ARI 15.4. Bye in Week 8.
This week · SF vs DEN
Week 4 projection
- Half‑PPR
- 8.6
- PPR
- 10.2
- Standard
- 7.0
Range 2.2–17.4
Floor to ceiling in half-PPR points: the 10th to 90th percentile of how far past weeks landed from a projection like this one. About 4 in 5 landed inside it.
Projected line: 4.6 tgt · 3.21 rec · 45 yds · 0.30 TD
Show the math
- Volume
- 16% of SF's targets × 31.2 a game
- 5.1 targets
- Efficiency
- 69% catch · 9.5 yds/target
- 3.5 rec · 56 yds
- Scoring chances
- 6.26 TD per 100 targets, from his red-zone usage
- 0.35 TD
- Vegas
- SF implied 25.3 vs 26.6 in his games (×0.95)
- −3% volume, −10% TD rate
- Market prior
- Preseason WR50 in FFC ADP → 7.4 PPG, 40% weight at 3 games
- −0.9 half-PPR pts (9.4 → 8.6)
- Vacated share
- Demarcus Robinson ruled out
- +5% share
- Context (not in projection)
- DEN allows 0.90× league WR points (rank 27 of 32)
| Opponent | vs DENSF at home |
|---|---|
| Kickoff | Sun 4:25 PM ET |
| Implied total | 25.3SF · consensus line |
| Wind | No wind flagKickoff-hour forecast: NW 1 mph |
| DEN vs WR | Allows the 27th-most fantasy points to WRs0.90× the league average · context — not in the projection |
| Red zone | 18% of SF's targets inside the 203 of 17, through Week 3 · 2 inside the 10 · 1 TD |
| Rest of season | WR40 of 92 · 8.3 PPGHalf-PPR points per game, market prior included · 13 games left through Week 17 · bye in Week 8 |
Trade value 0 of 100
Redraft chart, Weeks 4–17, 12-team Half-PPR: at or below a replacement player, so about 0 in a trade.
See the trade value chart Put him in a trade
Compare him with another player
Built from stats through Week 3, consensus line as of Wed, Sep 30, 6:31 PM ET, Week 4 injury report. Game-day inactives are not in the model. Market prior: preseason ADP from Fantasy Football Calculator.
2026 season · the games so far
2026 so far
Through Week 3 · nflverse stats as of
- PPR pts / game
- 13.3
- WR rank
- WR21
- of 131 with 2+ games
- Games
- 3
- SF
| Scoring | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Standard | 30.9 | 10.3 |
| Half-PPR | 35.4 | 11.8 |
| PPR | 39.9 | 13.3 |
WR rank is by PPR points per game among WRs with 2 or more games.
Game log
Swipe for every stat and the calculator link
| Wk | Opp | PPR pts | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Tgt share | Snap % | Calculator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ARI | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 1 | 0% | 76% | Score this game |
| 2 | MIA | 6.5 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 0 | 19% | 60% | Score this game |
| 1 | LAR | 18.0 | 7 | 6 | 48 | 1 | 21% | 42% | Score this game |
PPR pts is nflverse's full-PPR total for the game. "Score this game" opens the fantasy point calculator with that exact line loaded, to re-score it in Standard, Half-PPR or your league's settings. A dash means nflverse has no figure for that game yet.
Usage trend
| Per game | Season (Wks 1–3) |
|---|---|
| Snap share | 59% |
| Targets per game | 3.7 |
| Target share | 13% |
| Air-yards share | 7% |
| PPR points per game | 13.3 |
3 games so far, so there is no recent-vs-season split yet: it starts once he has played more than 3. Shares are team-relative and averaged per game.
Inside the 20
| Chances | His | Team share |
|---|---|---|
| Targets inside the 20 | 3 | 18% |
| Targets inside the 10 | 2 | 25% |
| Red-zone touchdowns | 1 | — |
Through Week 3, over 3 team games. Team share is his part of every target or carry his team had in that zone; a dash means it had none. Counted from nflverse play-by-play, the same way as the red zone board.
Sources: nflverse player stats, snap counts, play-by-play and the official injury report (CC-BY 4.0). Every figure in the game log, usage and red-zone blocks is a count, or an average of counts, from those files. A projection in the Week card above shows its own inputs and math. Opportunities are his pass attempts, carries and targets, divided by his team's games.
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Next step
Everything for Week 4, on one page.
The top of every weekly board on one page: Vegas implied totals, wind, DST and kicker streamers, waiver risers, injuries, soft matchups and byes.
Open the Week 4 cheat sheet