Jaylin Noel: 2026 Fantasy Football Stats
Jaylin Noel has played 4 of HOU's 4 games through Week 4, averaging 7.3 PPR points.
Box-score numbers, plus this week's projection where there is one: no draft read, no advice.
Not on the Week 4 injury report.
Jaylin Noel
WR · Houston Texans
This week · Week 5
Projected 4.9 half-PPR points in Week 5, with a likely range of 0.0 to 13.7.
at TEN · Sun 1:00 PM ET
Forecast 4.9 Half-PPR points: the Vegas line takes away 0.3, the matchup nothing. Show how it is built.
| Step | Points | Running total |
|---|---|---|
| Baseline: His role and efficiency over 4 games, at his usual line | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| Vegas: HOU implied 23.0 vs 23.5 in his games | −0.3 | 4.9 |
| Matchup: TEN 11th softest vs WR: already in the Vegas line | 0.0 | 4.9 |
| Availability: No designation, no teammate ruled out | 0.0 | 4.9 |
| Projection | 4.9 | 4.9 |
Each step is the change from switching that factor on, in this order, so the steps add up to the projection. The matchup adds nothing with a line: the model's backtest found the line already prices the defense.
- Context: HOU is implied for 23.0 points, tied for 14th-highest of 30 teams with a line this week.
- Context: TEN ranks 11th of 32 defenses in fantasy points allowed to WRs, where 1st allows the most (context, not in the projection).
- Context: kickoff-hour forecast E 10 mph, under the 15 mph wind line.
Season so far · through Week 4
- Half-PPR/g
- 6.3 half-PPR points a game over 4 games, 25.1 in all.
- PPR rank
- WR70 of 145 WRs with 2 or more games, by PPR points per game.
- Games
- 4 games with a stat line through Week 4.
- tgt share
- 8.8% of his team's targets this season, per team game.
PPR 29.1 (7.3/g) · Std 21.1 (5.3/g)
Game log · half-PPR
Half-PPR points by week, oldest first: Week 1 BUF 6.3, Week 2 CIN 4.9, Week 3 IND 3.5, Week 4 DAL 10.4. Bye in Week 8.
This week · HOU at TEN
Week 5 projection
- Half‑PPR
- 4.9
- PPR
- 5.8
- Standard
- 4.0
Range 0.0–13.7
Floor to ceiling in half-PPR points: the 10th to 90th percentile of how far past weeks landed from a projection like this one. About 4 in 5 landed inside it.
Projected line: 2.8 tgt · 1.83 rec · 29 yds · 0.09 TD
Show the math
- Volume
- 9% of HOU's targets × 30.1 a game
- 2.8 targets
- Efficiency
- 66% catch · 9.9 yds/target
- 1.8 rec · 33 yds
- Scoring chances
- 3.93 TD per 100 targets, from his red-zone usage
- 0.11 TD
- Vegas
- HOU implied 23.0 vs 23.5 in his games (×0.98)
- −1% volume, −4% TD rate
- Market prior
- Not in preseason ADP — no prior
- Context (not in projection)
- TEN allows 1.06× league WR points (rank 11 of 32)
| Opponent | at TENHOU on the road |
|---|---|
| Kickoff | Sun 1:00 PM ET |
| Implied total | 23.0HOU · consensus line |
| Wind | No wind flagKickoff-hour forecast: E 10 mph |
| TEN vs WR | Allows the 11th-most fantasy points to WRs1.06× the league average · context — not in the projection |
| Rest of season | WR86 of 99 · 5.2 PPGHalf-PPR points per game · 12 games left through Week 17 · bye in Week 8 |
Trade value 0 of 100
Redraft chart, Weeks 5–17, 12-team Half-PPR: at or below a replacement player, so about 0 in a trade.
See the trade value chart Put him in a trade
Compare him with another player
Built from stats through Week 4, consensus line as of Mon, Oct 5, 7:31 AM ET, no Week 5 injury report yet, so no designation is applied. Game-day inactives are not in the model.
2026 season · the games so far
2026 so far
Through Week 4 · Week 4 in progress — 15 of 16 games final · nflverse stats as of
- PPR pts / game
- 7.3
- WR rank
- WR70
- of 145 with 2+ games
- Games
- 4
- HOU
| Scoring | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Standard | 21.1 | 5.3 |
| Half-PPR | 25.1 | 6.3 |
| PPR | 29.1 | 7.3 |
WR rank is by PPR points per game among WRs with 2 or more games.
Game log
Swipe for every stat and the calculator link
| Wk | Opp | PPR pts | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Tgt share | Snap % | Calculator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | DAL | 11.9 | 3 | 3 | 85 | 0 | 12% | 62% | Score this game |
| 3 | IND | 4.5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 8% | 26% | Score this game |
| 2 | CIN | 5.4 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 10% | 60% | Score this game |
| 1 | BUF | 7.3 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 0 | 5% | 30% | Score this game |
PPR pts is nflverse's full-PPR total for the game. "Score this game" opens the fantasy point calculator with that exact line loaded, to re-score it in Standard, Half-PPR or your league's settings. A dash means nflverse has no figure for that game yet.
Usage trend
Swipe for the season and the change
| Per game | Last 3 (Wks 2–4) | Season | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 49% | 45% | +5 |
| Targets per game | 3.3 | 3.0 | +0.3 |
| Target share | 10% | 9% | +1 |
| Air-yards share | 10% | 10% | +1 |
| PPR points per game | 7.3 | 7.3 | 0.0 |
Shares are team-relative and averaged per game.
Sources: nflverse player stats, snap counts, play-by-play and the official injury report (CC-BY 4.0). Every figure in the game log, usage and red-zone blocks is a count, or an average of counts, from those files. A projection in the Week card above shows its own inputs and math. Opportunities are his pass attempts, carries and targets, divided by his team's games.
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Next step
Everything for Week 5, on one page.
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