Kaelon Black: 2026 Fantasy Football Stats
Kaelon Black has played 4 of SF's 4 games through Week 5, averaging 3.4 PPR points.
Box-score numbers, plus this week's projection where there is one: no draft read, no advice.
Kaelon Black
RB · San Francisco 49ers
- Week 5 injury reportInjury report — illness, full practice
This week · Week 6
Projected 5.5 half-PPR points in Week 6, with a likely range of 0.0 to 14.5.
vs WAS · Mon 8:15 PM ET
Forecast 5.5 Half-PPR points: the Vegas line adds 0.3, the matchup nothing. Show how it is built.
| Step | Points | Running total |
|---|---|---|
| Baseline: His role and efficiency over 4 games, with his preseason RB49 ADP at 33% weight, at his usual line | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| Vegas: SF implied 29.5 vs 26.3 in his games | +0.3 | 5.5 |
| Matchup: WAS 7th toughest vs RB: already in the Vegas line | 0.0 | 5.5 |
| Availability: No designation, no teammate ruled out | 0.0 | 5.5 |
| Projection | 5.5 | 5.5 |
Each step is the change from switching that factor on, in this order, so the steps add up to the projection. The matchup adds nothing with a line: the model's backtest found the line already prices the defense.
- Helps: SF is implied for 29.5 points, 3rd-highest of 28 teams with a line this week.
- Hurts: WAS ranks 26th of 32 defenses in fantasy points allowed to RBs, where 1st allows the most (context, not in the projection).
- Context: an outdoor game with no kickoff-hour forecast yet.
Season so far · through Week 5
- Half-PPR/g
- 3.3 half-PPR points a game over 4 games, 13.0 in all.
- PPR rank
- RB68 of 96 RBs with 2 or more games, by PPR points per game.
- Games
- 4 games with a stat line through Week 5.
- car/g
- 7.8 carries per team game this season.
PPR 13.5 (3.4/g) · Std 12.5 (3.1/g)
Game log · half-PPR
Half-PPR points by week, oldest first: Week 1 LAR 7.5, Week 2 MIA 2.5, Week 3 ARI 1.7, Week 4 DEN 1.3, Week 5 not played yet. Bye in Week 8.
This week · SF vs WAS
Week 6 projection
- Half‑PPR
- 5.5
- PPR
- 5.9
- Standard
- 5.2
Range 0.0–14.5
Floor to ceiling in half-PPR points: the 10th to 90th percentile of how far past weeks landed from a projection like this one. About 4 in 5 landed inside it.
Projected line: 7.7 car · 31 rush yds · 0.75 rec · 5 rec yds · 0.26 TD
Show the math
- Volume
- 26% of SF's carries × 27.1 a game · 3% of SF's targets × 30.0 a game
- 7.3 carries · 1.0 targets
- Efficiency
- 76% catch · 5.4 yds/target · 4.0 yds/carry
- 0.7 rec · 35 yds
- Scoring chances
- 2.56 TD per 100 carries, 2.97 per 100 targets, from his red-zone usage
- 0.25 TD
- Vegas
- SF implied 29.5 vs 26.3 in his games (×1.12)
- +6% volume, +26% TD rate
- Market prior
- Preseason RB49 in FFC ADP → 6.0 PPG, 33% weight at 4 games
- +0.3 half-PPR pts (5.3 → 5.5)
- Context (not in projection)
- WAS allows 0.90× league RB points (rank 26 of 32)
| Opponent | vs WASSF at home |
|---|---|
| Kickoff | Mon 8:15 PM ET |
| Implied total | 29.5SF · consensus line |
| WAS vs RB | Allows the 26th-most fantasy points to RBs0.90× the league average · context — not in the projection |
| Red zone | 32% of SF's carries inside the 207 of 22, through Week 5 |
| Rest of season | RB55 of 59 · 5.4 PPGHalf-PPR points per game, market prior included · 11 games left through Week 17 · bye in Week 8 |
Trade value 0 of 100
Redraft chart, Weeks 6–17, 12-team Half-PPR: at or below a replacement player, so about 0 in a trade.
See the trade value chart Put him in a trade
Compare him with another player
Built from stats through Week 5, consensus line as of Sun, Oct 11, 7:41 PM ET, no Week 6 injury report yet, so no designation is applied. Game-day inactives are not in the model. Market prior: preseason ADP from Fantasy Football Calculator.
2026 season · the games so far
2026 so far
Through Week 5 · Week 5 in progress — 10 of 15 games final · nflverse stats as of
Week 5 injury report Injury report — illness, full practice
- PPR pts / game
- 3.4
- RB rank
- RB68
- of 96 with 2+ games
- Games
- 4
- SF
| Scoring | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Standard | 12.5 | 3.1 |
| Half-PPR | 13.0 | 3.3 |
| PPR | 13.5 | 3.4 |
RB rank is by PPR points per game among RBs with 2 or more games.
Game log
Swipe for every stat and the calculator link
| Wk | Opp | PPR pts | Carries | Rush yds | Rush TD | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Snap % | Calculator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SEA | Not played yet | |||||||||
| 4 | DEN | 1.3 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26% | Score this game |
| 3 | ARI | 1.7 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15% | Score this game |
| 2 | MIA | 2.5 | 7 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33% | Score this game |
| 1 | LAR | 8.0 | 14 | 65 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 43% | Score this game |
PPR pts is nflverse's full-PPR total for the game. "Score this game" opens the fantasy point calculator with that exact line loaded, to re-score it in Standard, Half-PPR or your league's settings. A dash means nflverse has no figure for that game yet.
Usage trend
Swipe for the season and the change
| Per game | Last 3 (Wks 2–4) | Season | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 25% | 29% | −5 |
| Carries per game | 5.7 | 7.8 | −2.1 |
| Targets per game | 0.3 | 0.5 | −0.2 |
| Target share | 1% | 2% | 0 |
| PPR points per game | 1.8 | 3.4 | −1.5 |
Shares are team-relative and averaged per game.
Inside the 20
| Chances | His | Team share |
|---|---|---|
| Targets inside the 20 | 0 | 0% |
| Targets inside the 10 | 0 | 0% |
| Carries inside the 20 | 7 | 32% |
| Carries inside the 5 | 0 | 0% |
| Red-zone touchdowns | 0 | — |
Through Week 5, over 4 team games. Team share is his part of every target or carry his team had in that zone; a dash means it had none. Counted from nflverse play-by-play, the same way as the red zone board.
Sources: nflverse player stats, snap counts, play-by-play and the official injury report (CC-BY 4.0). Every figure in the game log, usage and red-zone blocks is a count, or an average of counts, from those files. A projection in the Week card above shows its own inputs and math. Opportunities are his pass attempts, carries and targets, divided by his team's games.
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