Keaton Mitchell: 2026 Fantasy Football Stats
Keaton Mitchell has played 4 of LAC's 4 games through Week 4, averaging 7.7 PPR points.
Box-score numbers, plus this week's projection where there is one: no draft read, no advice.
Not on the Week 5 injury report.
Keaton Mitchell
RB · Los Angeles Chargers
This week · Week 5
Projected 5.8 half-PPR points in Week 5, with a likely range of 0.0 to 14.8.
vs DEN · Sun 4:05 PM ET
Forecast 5.8 Half-PPR points: the Vegas line takes away 0.7, the matchup nothing. Show how it is built.
| Step | Points | Running total |
|---|---|---|
| Baseline: His role and efficiency over 4 games, at his usual line | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| Vegas: LAC implied 19.3 vs 22.2 in his games | −0.7 | 5.8 |
| Matchup: DEN 9th softest vs RB: already in the Vegas line | 0.0 | 5.8 |
| Availability: No designation, no teammate ruled out | 0.0 | 5.8 |
| Projection | 5.8 | 5.8 |
Each step is the change from switching that factor on, in this order, so the steps add up to the projection. The matchup adds nothing with a line: the model's backtest found the line already prices the defense.
- Hurts: LAC is implied for 19.3 points, 23rd-highest of 28 teams with a line this week.
- Helps: DEN ranks 9th of 32 defenses in fantasy points allowed to RBs, where 1st allows the most (context, not in the projection).
- Context: played indoors, so weather is not a factor.
Season so far · through Week 4
- Half-PPR/g
- 6.6 half-PPR points a game over 4 games, 26.3 in all.
- PPR rank
- RB35 of 91 RBs with 2 or more games, by PPR points per game.
- Games
- 4 games with a stat line through Week 4.
- car/g
- 6.8 carries per team game this season.
PPR 30.8 (7.7/g) · Std 21.8 (5.5/g)
Game log · half-PPR
Half-PPR points by week, oldest first: Week 1 ARI 0.9, Week 2 LV 4.4, Week 3 BUF 12.2, Week 4 SEA 8.8. Bye in Week 7.
This week · LAC vs DEN
Week 5 projection
- Half‑PPR
- 5.8
- PPR
- 6.8
- Standard
- 4.9
Range 0.0–14.8
Floor to ceiling in half-PPR points: the 10th to 90th percentile of how far past weeks landed from a projection like this one. About 4 in 5 landed inside it.
Projected line: 6.0 car · 27 rush yds · 1.95 rec · 12 rec yds · 0.17 TD
Show the math
- Volume
- 24% of LAC's carries × 27.1 a game · 8% of LAC's targets × 31.6 a game
- 6.0 carries · 2.4 targets
- Efficiency
- 81% catch · 5.1 yds/target · 4.5 yds/carry
- 2.0 rec · 39 yds
- Scoring chances
- 2.05 TD per 100 carries, 4.09 per 100 targets, from his red-zone usage
- 0.17 TD
- Vegas
- LAC implied 19.3 vs 22.2 in his games (×0.87)
- −7% volume, −25% TD rate
- Market prior
- Not in preseason ADP — no prior
- Context (not in projection)
- DEN allows 1.05× league RB points (rank 9 of 32)
| Opponent | vs DENLAC at home |
|---|---|
| Kickoff | Sun 4:05 PM ET |
| Implied total | 19.3LAC · consensus line |
| DEN vs RB | Allows the 9th-most fantasy points to RBs1.05× the league average · context — not in the projection |
| Red zone | 14% of LAC's carries inside the 203 of 22, through Week 4 |
| Rest of season | RB49 of 58 · 6.5 PPGHalf-PPR points per game · 12 games left through Week 17 · bye in Week 7 |
Trade value 0 of 100
Redraft chart, Weeks 5–17, 12-team Half-PPR: at or below a replacement player, so about 0 in a trade.
See the trade value chart Put him in a trade
Compare him with another player
Built from stats through Week 4, consensus line as of Thu, Oct 8, 8:25 PM ET, Week 5 injury report. Game-day inactives are not in the model.
2026 season · the games so far
2026 so far
Through Week 4 · nflverse stats as of
- PPR pts / game
- 7.7
- RB rank
- RB35
- of 91 with 2+ games
- Games
- 4
- LAC
| Scoring | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Standard | 21.8 | 5.5 |
| Half-PPR | 26.3 | 6.6 |
| PPR | 30.8 | 7.7 |
RB rank is by PPR points per game among RBs with 2 or more games.
Game log
Swipe for every stat and the calculator link
| Wk | Opp | PPR pts | Carries | Rush yds | Rush TD | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Snap % | Calculator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SEA | 11.3 | 10 | 39 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 37% | Score this game |
| 3 | BUF | 13.7 | 8 | 52 | 0 | 3 | 3 | −5 | 1 | 38% | Score this game |
| 2 | LV | 4.9 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 25% | Score this game |
| 1 | ARI | 0.9 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31% | Score this game |
PPR pts is nflverse's full-PPR total for the game. "Score this game" opens the fantasy point calculator with that exact line loaded, to re-score it in Standard, Half-PPR or your league's settings. A dash means nflverse has no figure for that game yet.
Usage trend
Swipe for the season and the change
| Per game | Last 3 (Wks 2–4) | Season | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 33% | 33% | +1 |
| Carries per game | 7.7 | 6.8 | +0.9 |
| Targets per game | 3.3 | 2.5 | +0.8 |
| Target share | 11% | 8% | +3 |
| PPR points per game | 10.0 | 7.7 | +2.3 |
Shares are team-relative and averaged per game.
Inside the 20
| Chances | His | Team share |
|---|---|---|
| Targets inside the 20 | 1 | 8% |
| Targets inside the 10 | 1 | 14% |
| Carries inside the 20 | 3 | 14% |
| Carries inside the 5 | 0 | 0% |
| Red-zone touchdowns | 1 | — |
Through Week 4, over 4 team games. Team share is his part of every target or carry his team had in that zone; a dash means it had none. Counted from nflverse play-by-play, the same way as the red zone board.
Sources: nflverse player stats, snap counts, play-by-play and the official injury report (CC-BY 4.0). Every figure in the game log, usage and red-zone blocks is a count, or an average of counts, from those files. A projection in the Week card above shows its own inputs and math. Opportunities are his pass attempts, carries and targets, divided by his team's games.
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Next step
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