Keon Coleman: 2026 Fantasy Football Stats
Keon Coleman has played 4 of BUF's 4 games through Week 4, averaging 10.4 PPR points.
Box-score numbers, plus this week's projection where there is one: no draft read, no advice.
Not on the Week 5 injury report.
Keon Coleman
WR · Buffalo Bills
This week · Week 5
Projected 8.1 half-PPR points in Week 5, with a likely range of 1.7 to 16.9.
at LAR · Mon 8:15 PM ET
Forecast 8.1 Half-PPR points: the Vegas line adds 0.1, the matchup nothing. Show how it is built.
| Step | Points | Running total |
|---|---|---|
| Baseline: His role and efficiency over 4 games, at his usual line | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| Vegas: BUF implied 25.8 vs 27.9 in his games | +0.1 | 8.1 |
| Matchup: LAR 15th toughest vs WR: already in the Vegas line | 0.0 | 8.1 |
| Availability: No designation, no teammate ruled out | 0.0 | 8.1 |
| Projection | 8.1 | 8.1 |
Each step is the change from switching that factor on, in this order, so the steps add up to the projection. The matchup adds nothing with a line: the model's backtest found the line already prices the defense.
- Helps: BUF is implied for 25.8 points, 3rd-highest of 28 teams with a line this week.
- Context: LAR ranks 18th of 32 defenses in fantasy points allowed to WRs, where 1st allows the most (context, not in the projection).
- Context: played indoors, so weather is not a factor.
Season so far · through Week 4
- Half-PPR/g
- 8.7 half-PPR points a game over 4 games, 34.7 in all.
- PPR rank
- WR38 of 145 WRs with 2 or more games, by PPR points per game.
- Games
- 4 games with a stat line through Week 4.
- tgt share
- 14.0% of his team's targets this season, per team game.
PPR 41.7 (10.4/g) · Std 27.7 (6.9/g)
Game log · half-PPR
Half-PPR points by week, oldest first: Week 1 HOU 0.6, Week 2 DET 9.3, Week 3 LAC 4.2, Week 4 NE 20.6. Bye in Week 7.
This week · BUF at LAR
Week 5 projection
- Half‑PPR
- 8.1
- PPR
- 9.8
- Standard
- 6.3
Range 1.7–16.9
Floor to ceiling in half-PPR points: the 10th to 90th percentile of how far past weeks landed from a projection like this one. About 4 in 5 landed inside it.
Projected line: 4.9 tgt · 3.52 rec · 49 yds · 0.24 TD
Show the math
- Volume
- 16% of BUF's targets × 33.3 a game
- 4.9 targets
- Efficiency
- 71% catch · 9.7 yds/target
- 3.5 rec · 49 yds
- Scoring chances
- 5.61 TD per 100 targets, from his red-zone usage
- 0.24 TD
- Vegas
- BUF implied 25.8 vs 27.9 in his games (×0.92)
- −4% volume, −15% TD rate
- Market prior
- Not in preseason ADP — no prior
- Context (not in projection)
- LAR allows 0.99× league WR points (rank 18 of 32)
| Opponent | at LARBUF on the road |
|---|---|
| Kickoff | Mon 8:15 PM ET |
| Implied total | 25.8BUF · consensus line |
| LAR vs WR | Allows the 18th-most fantasy points to WRs0.99× the league average · context — not in the projection |
| Red zone | 13% of BUF's targets inside the 202 of 16, through Week 4 · 1 inside the 10 |
| Rest of season | WR41 of 100 · 8.4 PPGHalf-PPR points per game · 12 games left through Week 17 · bye in Week 7 |
Trade value 0 of 100
Redraft chart, Weeks 5–17, 12-team Half-PPR: at or below a replacement player, so about 0 in a trade.
See the trade value chart Put him in a trade
Compare him with another player
Built from stats through Week 4, consensus line as of Thu, Oct 8, 8:25 PM ET, Week 5 injury report. Game-day inactives are not in the model.
2026 season · the games so far
2026 so far
Through Week 4 · nflverse stats as of
- PPR pts / game
- 10.4
- WR rank
- WR38
- of 145 with 2+ games
- Games
- 4
- BUF
| Scoring | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Standard | 27.7 | 6.9 |
| Half-PPR | 34.7 | 8.7 |
| PPR | 41.7 | 10.4 |
WR rank is by PPR points per game among WRs with 2 or more games.
Game log
Swipe for every stat and the calculator link
| Wk | Opp | PPR pts | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Tgt share | Snap % | Calculator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | NE | 23.6 | 7 | 6 | 116 | 1 | 23% | 78% | Score this game |
| 3 | LAC | 4.7 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 0 | 8% | 48% | Score this game |
| 2 | DET | 12.3 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 0 | 21% | 74% | Score this game |
| 1 | HOU | 1.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4% | 50% | Score this game |
PPR pts is nflverse's full-PPR total for the game. "Score this game" opens the fantasy point calculator with that exact line loaded, to re-score it in Standard, Half-PPR or your league's settings. A dash means nflverse has no figure for that game yet.
Usage trend
Swipe for the season and the change
| Per game | Last 3 (Wks 2–4) | Season | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 67% | 63% | +4 |
| Targets per game | 5.0 | 4.0 | +1.0 |
| Target share | 17% | 14% | +3 |
| Air-yards share | 25% | 19% | +6 |
| PPR points per game | 13.5 | 10.4 | +3.1 |
Shares are team-relative and averaged per game.
Inside the 20
| Chances | His | Team share |
|---|---|---|
| Targets inside the 20 | 2 | 13% |
| Targets inside the 10 | 1 | 17% |
| Red-zone touchdowns | 0 | — |
Through Week 4, over 4 team games. Team share is his part of every target or carry his team had in that zone; a dash means it had none. Counted from nflverse play-by-play, the same way as the red zone board.
Sources: nflverse player stats, snap counts, play-by-play and the official injury report (CC-BY 4.0). Every figure in the game log, usage and red-zone blocks is a count, or an average of counts, from those files. A projection in the Week card above shows its own inputs and math. Opportunities are his pass attempts, carries and targets, divided by his team's games.
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Next step
Everything for Week 5, on one page.
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