Michael Penix Jr.: 2026 Fantasy Football Stats
Michael Penix Jr. has played 2 of ATL's 4 games through Week 5, averaging 13.4 PPR points.
Box-score numbers, plus this week's projection where there is one: no draft read, no advice.
Not on the Week 5 injury report.
Michael Penix Jr.
QB · Atlanta Falcons
This week · Week 6
Projected 15.1 half-PPR points in Week 6, with a likely range of 4.3 to 26.3.Limited data: only 2 2026 games behind this projection, so it leans on an undrafted QB's baseline (50% weight). Expect it to move.
vs CHI · Sun 1:00 PM ET
Forecast 15.1 Half-PPR points: the Vegas line adds 0.6, the matchup nothing. Show how it is built.
| Step | Points | Running total |
|---|---|---|
| Baseline: His role and efficiency over 2 games, pulled toward an undrafted QB's baseline at 50% weight, at his usual line | 14.5 | 14.5 |
| Vegas: ATL implied 23.3 vs 21.4 in his games | +0.6 | 15.1 |
| Matchup: CHI 10th softest vs QB: already in the Vegas line | 0.0 | 15.1 |
| Availability: No designation, no teammate ruled out | 0.0 | 15.1 |
| Projection | 15.1 | 15.1 |
Each step is the change from switching that factor on, in this order, so the steps add up to the projection. The matchup adds nothing with a line: the model's backtest found the line already prices the defense.
- Context: ATL is implied for 23.3 points, tied for 12th-highest of 28 teams with a line this week.
- Helps: CHI ranks 10th of 32 defenses in fantasy points allowed to QBs, where 1st allows the most (context, not in the projection).
- Context: a retractable roof, treated as indoors.
Season so far · through Week 5
- Half-PPR/g
- 13.4 half-PPR points a game over 2 games, 26.8 in all.
- PPR rank
- QB27 of 41 QBs with 2 or more games, by PPR points per game.
- Games
- 2 games with a stat line through Week 5.
- pass yds/g
- 240 passing yards a game this season, over 2 games.
PPR 26.8 (13.4/g) · Std 26.8 (13.4/g)
Game log · half-PPR
Half-PPR points by week, oldest first: Week 1 did not play, Week 2 did not play, Week 3 GB 14.0, Week 4 NO 12.7, Week 5 not played yet. Bye in Week 11.
This week · ATL vs CHI
Week 6 projection
- Half‑PPR
- 15.1
- PPR
- 15.1
- Standard
- 15.1
Range 4.3–26.3
Floor to ceiling in half-PPR points: the 10th to 90th percentile of how far past weeks landed from a projection like this one. About 4 in 5 landed inside it.
Projected line: 28.5 att · 227 pass yds · 1.49 pass TD · 0.57 INT · 2.0 car · 7 rush yds · 0.09 rush TD
Show the math
- Volume
- 96% of ATL's pass attempts × 30.8 a game · 7% of ATL's carries × 28.3 a game
- 30.1 attempts · 2.1 carries
- Efficiency
- 7.8 yds/attempt
- 240 pass yds
- Scoring chances
- 4.52 TD per 100 attempts
- 1.67 TD
- Vegas
- ATL implied 23.3 vs 21.4 in his games (×1.09)
- +4% volume, +18% TD rate
- Market prior
- Preseason QB in FFC ADP → 14.4 PPG, 50% weight at 2 games
- −0.9 half-PPR pts (16.0 → 15.1)
- Context (not in projection)
- CHI allows 1.04× league QB points (rank 10 of 32)
| Opponent | vs CHIATL at home |
|---|---|
| Kickoff | Sun 1:00 PM ET |
| Implied total | 23.3ATL · consensus line |
| CHI vs QB | Allows the 10th-most fantasy points to QBs1.04× the league average · context — not in the projection |
| Rest of season | QB35 of 40 · 13.9 PPGHalf-PPR points per game · 11 games left through Week 17 · bye in Week 11 |
Trade value 0 of 100
Redraft chart, Weeks 6–17, 12-team Half-PPR: at or below a replacement player, so about 0 in a trade.
See the trade value chart Put him in a trade
Compare him with another player
Built from stats through Week 5, consensus line as of Sun, Oct 11, 7:41 PM ET, no Week 6 injury report yet, so no designation is applied. Game-day inactives are not in the model. Market prior: preseason ADP from Fantasy Football Calculator.
2026 season · the games so far
2026 so far
Through Week 5 · Week 5 in progress — 10 of 15 games final · nflverse stats as of
- PPR pts / game
- 13.4
- QB rank
- QB27
- of 41 with 2+ games
- Games
- 2
- ATL
| Scoring | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Standard | 26.8 | 13.4 |
| Half-PPR | 26.8 | 13.4 |
| PPR | 26.8 | 13.4 |
QB rank is by PPR points per game among QBs with 2 or more games.
Game log
Swipe for every stat and the calculator link
| Wk | Opp | PPR pts | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Carries | Rush yds | Rush TD | Snap % | Calculator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | BAL | Not played yet | ||||||||
| 4 | NO | 12.7 | 223 | 1 | 0 | 2 | −2 | 0 | 100% | Score this game |
| 3 | GB | 14.0 | 256 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 0 | 100% | Score this game |
| 2 | CAR | Did not play | ||||||||
| 1 | PIT | Did not play | ||||||||
PPR pts is nflverse's full-PPR total for the game. "Score this game" opens the fantasy point calculator with that exact line loaded, to re-score it in Standard, Half-PPR or your league's settings. A dash means nflverse has no figure for that game yet. "Did not play" means his team played but nflverse has no stat line for him, which is usually an injury or an inactive game day; the injury designation shows only for the week the latest report covers.
Usage trend
| Per game | Season (Wks 3–4) |
|---|---|
| Snap share | 100% |
| Carries per game | 2.0 |
| PPR points per game | 13.4 |
2 games so far, so there is no recent-vs-season split yet: it starts once he has played more than 3. Shares are team-relative and averaged per game.
Sources: nflverse player stats, snap counts, play-by-play and the official injury report (CC-BY 4.0). Every figure in the game log, usage and red-zone blocks is a count, or an average of counts, from those files. A projection in the Week card above shows its own inputs and math. Opportunities are his pass attempts, carries and targets, divided by his team's games.
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Everything for Week 6, on one page.
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