Michael Penix Jr.: 2026 Fantasy Football Stats
Michael Penix Jr. has played 1 of ATL's 3 games through Week 3, averaging 14.0 PPR points.
Box-score numbers, plus this week's projection where there is one: no draft read, no advice.
Not on the Week 4 injury report.
Michael Penix Jr.
QB · Atlanta Falcons
This week · Week 4
Projected 17.2 half-PPR points in Week 4, with a likely range of 6.3 to 28.3.
at NO · Mon 8:15 PM ET
Forecast 17.2 Half-PPR points: the Vegas line adds 2.7, the matchup nothing. Show how it is built.
| Step | Points | Running total |
|---|---|---|
| Baseline: His role and efficiency over 1 game, at his usual line | 14.5 | 14.5 |
| Vegas: ATL implied 22.5 vs 19.5 in his games | +2.7 | 17.2 |
| Matchup: NO 15th toughest vs QB: already in the Vegas line | 0.0 | 17.2 |
| Availability: No designation, no teammate ruled out | 0.0 | 17.2 |
| Projection | 17.2 | 17.2 |
Each step is the change from switching that factor on, in this order, so the steps add up to the projection. The matchup adds nothing with a line: the model's backtest found the line already prices the defense.
- Context: ATL is implied for 22.5 points, tied for 18th-highest of 32 teams with a line this week.
- Context: NO ranks 18th of 32 defenses in fantasy points allowed to QBs, where 1st allows the most (context, not in the projection).
- Context: played indoors, so weather is not a factor.
Season so far · through Week 3
- Half-PPR/g
- 14.0 half-PPR points a game over 1 game, 14.0 in all.
- PPR rank
- Not ranked: a QB needs 2 or more games to be ranked.
- Games
- 1 game with a stat line through Week 3.
- pass yds/g
- 256 passing yards a game this season, over 1 game.
PPR 14.0 (14.0/g) · Std 14.0 (14.0/g)
Game log · half-PPR
Half-PPR points by week, oldest first: Week 1 did not play, Week 2 did not play, Week 3 GB 14.0. Bye in Week 11.
This week · ATL at NO
Week 4 projection
- Half‑PPR
- 17.2
- PPR
- 17.2
- Standard
- 17.2
Range 6.3–28.3
Floor to ceiling in half-PPR points: the 10th to 90th percentile of how far past weeks landed from a projection like this one. About 4 in 5 landed inside it.
Projected line: 30.9 att · 239 pass yds · 1.85 pass TD · 0.72 INT · 2.3 car · 9 rush yds · 0.13 rush TD
Show the math
- Volume
- 95% of ATL's pass attempts × 30.9 a game · 8% of ATL's carries × 28.2 a game
- 31.0 attempts · 2.3 carries
- Efficiency
- 7.5 yds/attempt
- 239 pass yds
- Scoring chances
- 4.63 TD per 100 attempts
- 1.98 TD
- Vegas
- ATL implied 22.5 vs 19.5 in his games (×1.15)
- +7% volume, +33% TD rate
- Market prior
- Not in preseason ADP — no prior
- Context (not in projection)
- NO allows 0.97× league QB points (rank 18 of 32)
| Opponent | at NOATL on the road |
|---|---|
| Kickoff | Mon 8:15 PM ET |
| Implied total | 22.5ATL · consensus line |
| NO vs QB | Allows the 18th-most fantasy points to QBs0.97× the league average · context — not in the projection |
Compare him with another player
Built from stats through Week 3, consensus line as of Wed, Sep 30, 6:31 PM ET, Week 4 injury report. Game-day inactives are not in the model.
2026 season · the games so far
2026 so far
Through Week 3 · nflverse stats as of
- PPR pts / game
- 14.0
- QB rank
- —
- Needs 2+ games to rank
- Games
- 1
- ATL
| Scoring | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Standard | 14.0 | 14.0 |
| Half-PPR | 14.0 | 14.0 |
| PPR | 14.0 | 14.0 |
QB rank is by PPR points per game among QBs with 2 or more games.
Game log
Swipe for every stat and the calculator link
| Wk | Opp | PPR pts | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Carries | Rush yds | Rush TD | Snap % | Calculator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | GB | 14.0 | 256 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 0 | 100% | Score this game |
| 2 | CAR | Did not play | ||||||||
| 1 | PIT | Did not play | ||||||||
PPR pts is nflverse's full-PPR total for the game. "Score this game" opens the fantasy point calculator with that exact line loaded, to re-score it in Standard, Half-PPR or your league's settings. A dash means nflverse has no figure for that game yet. "Did not play" means his team played but nflverse has no stat line for him, which is usually an injury or an inactive game day; the injury designation shows only for the week the latest report covers.
Usage trend
| Per game | Season (Wk 3) |
|---|---|
| Snap share | 100% |
| Carries per game | 2.0 |
| PPR points per game | 14.0 |
One game so far, so there is no recent-vs-season split yet: it starts once he has played more than 3. Shares are team-relative and averaged per game.
Sources: nflverse player stats, snap counts, play-by-play and the official injury report (CC-BY 4.0). Every figure in the game log, usage and red-zone blocks is a count, or an average of counts, from those files. A projection in the Week card above shows its own inputs and math. Opportunities are his pass attempts, carries and targets, divided by his team's games.
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Next step
Everything for Week 4, on one page.
The top of every weekly board on one page: Vegas implied totals, wind, DST and kicker streamers, waiver risers, injuries, soft matchups and byes.
Open the Week 4 cheat sheet