Mitchell Tinsley: 2026 Fantasy Football Stats
Mitchell Tinsley has played 1 of CIN's 5 games through Week 7, averaging 7.9 PPR points.
Box-score numbers, plus this week's projection and call where there is one. No draft read.
Not on the Week 7 injury report.
Week 7 call · Half-PPR
Sit him. Projected 5.4 half-PPR, the WR61 this week, outdoors in light wind: below the starters and flex spots of a 12-team league. No designation on the Week 7 injury report (as of Oct 23).
Start, flex or sitOur one-line weekly call, for a 12-team league: start a top-12 QB, top-24 RB or WR, or top-12 TE this week; flex the next ones who would still fill a flex spot; sit the rest.More in the glossary : a 12-team league's starters and flex spots, from this week's projections.
Mitchell Tinsley
WR · Cincinnati Bengals
This week · Week 7
Projected 5.4 half-PPR points in Week 7, with a likely range of 0.0 to 14.2.Half-PPREvery catch is worth half a point. It is the middle ground between PPR and standard scoring, where catches score nothing on their own.More in the glossary ProjectionOur estimate of a player’s fantasy points this week, built from his share of his team’s targets, carries and passes, how much his team is expected to score, and his preseason value. It is a middle outcome, not a promise.More in the glossary Limited data: only 1 2026 game behind this projection. Expect it to move.
at BAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
Floor and ceilingThe spread of likely scores around a projection. The floor is a bad week (only 1 in 10 past weeks like it landed lower) and the ceiling a big one (only 1 in 10 landed higher).More in the glossary
Forecast 5.4 Half-PPR points: the Vegas line takes away 0.4, the matchup nothing. Show how it is built.
| Step | Points | Running total |
|---|---|---|
| Baseline: His role and efficiency over 1 game, at his usual line | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| Vegas: CIN implied 24.5 vs 27.0 in his games | −0.4 | 5.4 |
| Matchup: BAL 12th softest vs WR: already in the Vegas line | 0.0 | 5.4 |
| Availability: No designation, no teammate ruled out | 0.0 | 5.4 |
| Projection | 5.4 | 5.4 |
Each step is the change from switching that factor on, in this order, so the steps add up to the projection. The matchup adds nothing with a line: the model's backtest found the line already prices the defense.
- Implied total · implied team totalHow many points Vegas expects one team to score, worked out from the game total and the point spread. Higher totals mean more scoring chances for that offense.More in the glossary Context: CIN is implied for 24.5 points, 6th-highest of 26 teams with a line this week.
- Matchup (DvP) · defense vs positionHow many fantasy points this week’s opponent has allowed to a position, ranked 1 to 32. “3rd softest” allows the 3rd-most, “1st toughest” the fewest. Our projections treat it as context, because the Vegas line already prices the matchup in.More in the glossary No effect this week: BAL is the 12th softest of 32 defenses against WRs (the 1st toughest allows the fewest fantasy points). It is context, not in the projection: with a Vegas line, the model adds nothing for the matchup.
- Context: kickoff-hour forecast E 2 mph, under the 15 mph wind line.
Season so far · through Week 7
- PPG · points per gameFantasy points divided by games played, so a player is not marked down for the weeks he sat out.More in the glossary
- 6.4 half-PPR points a game over 1 game, 6.4 in all.
- PPR rank
- Not ranked: a WR needs 2 or more games to be ranked.
- Games
- 1 game with a stat line through Week 7.
- 2.6% of his team's targets this season, per team game.
PPR 7.9 (7.9/g) · Std 4.9 (4.9/g)
Game log · half-PPR
Half-PPR points by week, oldest first: Week 1 did not play, Week 2 did not play, Week 3 did not play, Week 4 JAX 6.4, Week 5 did not play, Week 6 bye, Week 7 not played yet.
This week · CIN at BAL
Week 7 projection
- Half-PPREvery catch is worth half a point. It is the middle ground between PPR and standard scoring, where catches score nothing on their own.More in the glossary
- 5.4
- PPR · point per receptionEvery catch is worth 1 point on top of the yards and touchdowns. It lifts pass-catching running backs, slot receivers and tight ends.More in the glossary
- 6.5
- StandardScoring where a catch is worth nothing on its own: only yards and touchdowns count. It favours running backs who score near the goal line over receivers who catch short passes.More in the glossary
- 4.3
Floor and ceilingThe spread of likely scores around a projection. The floor is a bad week (only 1 in 10 past weeks like it landed lower) and the ceiling a big one (only 1 in 10 landed higher).More in the glossary 0.0–14.2
Floor to ceiling in half-PPR points: the 10th to 90th percentile of how far past weeks landed from a projection like this one. About 4 in 5 landed inside it.
Projected line: 4.2 tgt · 2.26 rec · 32 yds · 0.17 TD
Show the math
- Volume
- 12% of CIN's targets × 34.1 a game
- 4.2 targets
- Efficiency
- 55% catch · 7.6 yds/target
- 2.3 rec · 32 yds
- Scoring chances
- 5.84 TD per 100 targets, from his red-zone usage
- 0.17 TD
- Vegas
- CIN implied 24.5 vs 27.0 in his games (×0.91)
- −5% volume, −18% TD rate
- Market prior
- Not in preseason ADP — no prior
- Context (not in projection)
- BAL allows 1.05× league WR points (12th softest of 32)
| Opponent | at BALCIN on the road |
|---|---|
| Kickoff | Sun 1:00 PM ET |
| Implied total · implied team totalHow many points Vegas expects one team to score, worked out from the game total and the point spread. Higher totals mean more scoring chances for that offense.More in the glossary | 24.5CIN · consensus line |
| Wind | No wind flagKickoff-hour forecast: E 2 mph |
| Matchup (DvP) · defense vs positionHow many fantasy points this week’s opponent has allowed to a position, ranked 1 to 32. “3rd softest” allows the 3rd-most, “1st toughest” the fewest. Our projections treat it as context, because the Vegas line already prices the matchup in.More in the glossary | Allows the 12th-most fantasy points to WRs1.05× the league average · context — not in the projection |
| Red zoneThe last 20 yards before the end zone. Most touchdowns start there, so targets and carries inside the 20 point to touchdown chances.More in the glossary | 12% of CIN's targets inside the 203 of 25, through Week 7 · 2 inside the 10 |
Compare him with another player
Built from stats through Week 6, consensus line as of Sat, Oct 24, 12:38 AM ET, Week 7 injury report. Game-day inactives are not in the model.
2026 season · the games so far
2026 so far
Through Week 7 · Week 7 in progress — 1 of 14 games final · nflverse stats as of
- PPR pts / game
- 7.9
- WR rank
- —
- Needs 2+ games to rank
- Games
- 1
- CIN
| Scoring | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Standard | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Half-PPR | 6.4 | 6.4 |
| PPR | 7.9 | 7.9 |
WR rank is by PPR points per game among WRs with 2 or more games.
Game log
Swipe for every stat and the calculator link
| Wk | Opp | PPR ptsHalf · Std | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Tgt share | Snap % | Calculator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | BAL | — | Not played yet | ||||||
| 6 | — | — | Bye week — no game | ||||||
| 5 | MIA | 0.0 | Did not play | ||||||
| 4 | JAX | 7.9 6.4 · 4.9 | 7 | 3 | 49 | 0 | 13% | 53% | Score this game |
| 3 | PIT | 0.0 | Did not play | ||||||
| 2 | HOU | 0.0 | Did not play | ||||||
| 1 | TB | 0.0 | Did not play | ||||||
PPR pts is nflverse's full-PPR total for the game; the smaller line under it is the same game in Half-PPR, then Standard (half a point, and a point, less per catch). "Score this game" opens the fantasy point calculator with that exact line loaded, to re-score it in your league's settings. A dash means nflverse has no figure for that game yet. "Did not play" means his team played but nflverse has no stat line for him, which is usually an injury or an inactive game day; it scores 0.0 and is left out of his per-game averages. The injury designation shows only for the week the latest report covers.
Usage trend
| Per game | Season (Wk 4) |
|---|---|
| Snap share | 53% |
| Targets per game | 7.0 |
| Target share | 13% |
| Air-yards share | 21% |
| PPR points per game | 7.9 |
One game so far, so there is no recent-vs-season split yet: it starts once he has played more than 3. Shares are team-relative and averaged per game.
Inside the 20
| Chances | His | Team share |
|---|---|---|
| Targets inside the 20 | 3 | 12% |
| Targets inside the 10 | 2 | 14% |
| Red-zone touchdowns | 0 | — |
Through Week 7, over 5 team games. Team share is his part of every target or carry his team had in that zone; a dash means it had none. Counted from nflverse play-by-play, the same way as the red zone board.
Sources: nflverse player stats, snap counts, play-by-play and the official injury report (CC-BY 4.0). Every figure in the game log, usage and red-zone blocks is a count, or an average of counts, from those files. A projection in the Week card above shows its own inputs and math. Opportunities are his pass attempts, carries and targets, divided by his team's games.
Every player page, with search.
Next step
Everything for Week 7, on one page.
The top of every weekly board on one page: Vegas implied totals, wind, DST and kicker streamers, waiver risers, injuries, soft matchups and byes.
Open the Week 7 cheat sheet