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Wide receiver · TB · 2026 season

Ted Hurst III: 2026 Fantasy Football Stats

Ted Hurst III has played 4 of TB's 5 games through Week 5, averaging 6.7 PPR points.

Box-score numbers, plus this week's projection where there is one: no draft read, no advice.

WR · TB · 3.2 opportunities per team game

Not on the Week 5 injury report.

Ted Hurst III

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This week · Week 6

Projected 5.1 half-PPR points in Week 6, with a likely range of 0.0 to 14.0.

vs PIT · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Forecast 5.1 Half-PPR points: the Vegas line takes away 0.5, the matchup nothing. Show how it is built.
How the 5.1-point Half-PPR projection is built, one step at a time
StepPointsRunning total
Baseline: His role and efficiency over 4 games, at his usual line5.65.6
Vegas: TB implied 19.0 vs 21.1 in his games−0.55.1
Matchup: PIT 11th toughest vs WR: already in the Vegas line0.05.1
Availability: No designation, no teammate ruled out0.05.1
Projection5.15.1

Each step is the change from switching that factor on, in this order, so the steps add up to the projection. The matchup adds nothing with a line: the model's backtest found the line already prices the defense.

  • Hurts: TB is implied for 19.0 points, 24th-highest of 28 teams with a line this week.
  • Context: PIT ranks 22nd of 32 defenses in fantasy points allowed to WRs, where 1st allows the most (context, not in the projection).
  • Context: an outdoor game with no kickoff-hour forecast yet.

Season so far · through Week 5

Half-PPR/g
5.7 half-PPR points a game over 4 games, 22.8 in all.
PPR rank
WR76 of 149 WRs with 2 or more games, by PPR points per game.
Games
4 games with a stat line through Week 5.
tgt share
10.6% of his team's targets this season, per team game.

PPR 26.8 (6.7/g) · Std 18.8 (4.7/g)

Game log · half-PPR

Half-PPR points by week, oldest first: Week 1 CIN 5.1, Week 2 CLE 3.7, Week 3 MIN 10.5, Week 4 GB 3.5, Week 5 did not play. Bye in Week 10.

This week · TB vs PIT

Week 6 projection

Half‑PPR
5.1
PPR
6.2
Standard
4.0

Range 0.0–14.0

Floor to ceiling in half-PPR points: the 10th to 90th percentile of how far past weeks landed from a projection like this one. About 4 in 5 landed inside it.

Projected line: 3.8 tgt · 2.19 rec · 31 yds · 0.15 TD

Show the math
Volume
13% of TB's targets × 30.8 a game
3.8 targets
Efficiency
58% catch · 8.1 yds/target
2.2 rec · 32 yds
Scoring chances
4.47 TD per 100 targets, from his red-zone usage
0.15 TD
Vegas
TB implied 19.0 vs 21.1 in his games (×0.90)
−5% volume, −19% TD rate
Market prior
Not in preseason ADP — no prior
Context (not in projection)
PIT allows 0.94× league WR points (rank 22 of 32)
Week 6 matchup facts
Opponentvs PITTB at home
KickoffSun 1:00 PM ET
Implied total19.0TB · consensus line
PIT vs WRAllows the 22nd-most fantasy points to WRs0.94× the league average · context — not in the projection
Red zone10% of TB's targets inside the 202 of 20, through Week 5
Rest of seasonWR87 of 103 · 5.4 PPGHalf-PPR points per game · 11 games left through Week 17 · bye in Week 10

Trade value 0 of 100

Redraft chart, Weeks 6–17, 12-team Half-PPR: at or below a replacement player, so about 0 in a trade.

See the trade value chart Put him in a trade

Compare him with another player

Built from stats through Week 5, consensus line as of Sun, Oct 11, 7:41 PM ET, no Week 6 injury report yet, so no designation is applied. Game-day inactives are not in the model.

2026 season · the games so far

2026 so far

Through Week 5 · Week 5 in progress — 10 of 15 games final · nflverse stats as of

PPR pts / game
6.7
WR rank
WR76
of 149 with 2+ games
Games
4
TB
Ted Hurst III 2026 fantasy points by scoring format, through Week 5
Scoring Total Per game
Standard 18.8 4.7
Half-PPR 22.8 5.7
PPR 26.8 6.7

WR rank is by PPR points per game among WRs with 2 or more games.

Game log

Swipe for every stat and the calculator link

Ted Hurst III 2026 game log, most recent week first
Wk Opp PPR pts Targets Rec Rec yds Rec TD Tgt share Snap % Calculator
5 DAL Did not play
4 GB 4.5 3225012%40% Score this game
3 MIN 11.0 314019%75% Score this game
2 CLE 4.7 7227021%74% Score this game
1 CIN 6.6 3336011%75% Score this game

PPR pts is nflverse's full-PPR total for the game. "Score this game" opens the fantasy point calculator with that exact line loaded, to re-score it in Standard, Half-PPR or your league's settings. A dash means nflverse has no figure for that game yet. "Did not play" means his team played but nflverse has no stat line for him, which is usually an injury or an inactive game day; the injury designation shows only for the week the latest report covers.

Usage trend

Swipe for the season and the change

Ted Hurst III usage, last 3 games against the season
Per game Last 3 (Wks 2–4) Season Change
Snap share 63% 66% −3
Targets per game 4.3 4.0 +0.3
Target share 14% 13% +1
Air-yards share 25% 25% 0
PPR points per game 6.7 6.7 0.0

Shares are team-relative and averaged per game.

Red zone

Inside the 20

Ted Hurst III red-zone chances and team share, through Week 5
Chances His Team share
Targets inside the 20 2 10%
Targets inside the 10 0 0%
Red-zone touchdowns 0 —

Through Week 5, over 5 team games. Team share is his part of every target or carry his team had in that zone; a dash means it had none. Counted from nflverse play-by-play, the same way as the red zone board.

Sources: nflverse player stats, snap counts, play-by-play and the official injury report (CC-BY 4.0). Every figure in the game log, usage and red-zone blocks is a count, or an average of counts, from those files. A projection in the Week card above shows its own inputs and math. Opportunities are his pass attempts, carries and targets, divided by his team's games.

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Next step

Everything for Week 6, on one page.

The top of every weekly board on one page: Vegas implied totals, wind, DST and kicker streamers, waiver risers, injuries, soft matchups and byes.

Open the Week 6 cheat sheet 

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