Head to head · July 2026 draft-day read
Bhayshul Tuten or TreVeyon Henderson?
TreVeyon Henderson was the stronger 2025 producer — 11.1 vs 5.6 half-PPR points per game, at essentially the same July 2026 draft cost (ADP 58.2 vs 59.8). That gap was the draft-day case for TreVeyon Henderson.
This week's projections are in the Week 5 start/sit card below. The July 2026 draft-day read that follows is opinion, framed from the cited 2025 data.
This week's start/sit · Half-PPR
Week 5: start Bhayshul Tuten or TreVeyon Henderson?
Coin flip: Bhayshul Tuten and TreVeyon Henderson are 0.7 pts apart.
In 2024–25, projection gaps under 1 point went the higher player's way about 52% of the time — close to a coin toss.
What does differ: Bhayshul Tuten has the higher floor (2.7 vs 2.0) and JAX is implied for more points (24.8 vs NE's 24.3).
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RB · JAX
Bhayshul Tuten
9.9 pts projected · range 2.7–18.8
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RB · NE
TreVeyon Henderson
9.2 pts projected · range 2.0–18.1
2026 season · the games so far
2026 head-to-head so far
Through Week 4, Bhayshul Tuten has out-scored TreVeyon Henderson by 5.8 PPR points per game, 13.0 to 7.2 (Bhayshul Tuten 4 games, TreVeyon Henderson 3 games).
Through Week 4 · nflverse stats as of
| Bhayshul Tuten | Metric | TreVeyon Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 3 |
| 13.0 | PPR points per game | 7.2 |
| 15.0 | Carries per game | 12.7 |
| 7% | Target share | 3% |
| 52% | Snap share | 45% |
| 14.1 | PPR points per game, last 3 games | 7.2 |
Purple marks the higher figure. Shares are team-relative, averaged per game; snap share counts only games with a published snap count. "Last 3 games" is each player's own last 3 games played. A dash means no 2026 figure. 2026 regular season via nflverse.
Game by game: Bhayshul Tuten · TreVeyon Henderson
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
Metric by metric
The tale of the tape
| Bhayshul Tuten | Metric | TreVeyon Henderson |
|---|---|---|
| 58.2 (RB24) | Draft ADP (July 2026) | 59.8 (RB25) |
| 59 | Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 60 |
| 5.6 | Fantasy points / game | 11.1 |
| 3.0% | Target share | — |
| 1.2% | Target share, last 3 games (2025) | — |
| 44 | Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 37 |
Purple marks the better figure. A dash means the engine did not cite that metric for that player. 2025 regular season via nflverse · ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator, Jul 15, 2026 snapshot.
The consensus read
July 2026 drafts separated them by a hair — Bhayshul Tuten at ADP 58.2, TreVeyon Henderson at ADP 59.8. On 2025 production it is 5.6 vs 11.1 half-PPR points per game.
What had to be true
This call flipped on beliefs that were checkable at the time. Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read.
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Checkpoint · Bhayshul Tuten
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
1.2% last 3 vs 3.0% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong move if you believed
Bhayshul Tuten's late-2025 target dip was matchup noise, not a role change
Poor move if instead
Bhayshul Tuten's target share is fading from the season baseline
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure here is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.