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Running back · JAX · 2026 draft outlook

Bhayshul Tuten: 2026 Fantasy Football Outlook

Bhayshul Tuten's 5.6 half-PPR points per game in 2025 sit below what a RB24 draft price usually buys — you are paying for projection, not last season's line. His target share slipped over his last three games of 2025.

Our read, framed from the cited 2025 data below — opinion, not a projection.

high confidence ADP 58.2 · RB24 · Half-PPR · as of Jul 14, 2026
By the numbers

The numbers behind the read

Cited Bhayshul Tuten metrics and their data sources
Metric Value Source
ADP 58.2 Fantasy Football Calculator
Overall ADP rank 59 Fantasy Football Calculator
Fantasy points / game 5.6 nflverse
Points over expected (FPOE) +1.6 nflverse
Target share 3.0% nflverse
Target share, last 3 games (2025) 1.2% nflverse
Sleeper search rank 44 Sleeper
Chalk

The consensus read

The market drafts Bhayshul Tuten as the RB24 (ADP 58.2). His 5.6 half-PPR points per game in 2025 sits below the RB starter line, with targets fading late in that year.

  • adp 58.2
  • adp_rank 59
  • search_rank 44
  • ppg 5.6
Sharp

The edge case — what has to be true

Every belief is tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that confirms or denies it, with its current value. Draft on the beliefs you share.

Strong pick if you believe…

  • Bhayshul Tuten's late-2025 target dip was matchup noise, not a role change

    Checkpoint

    target_share, last 3 games vs season (2025)

    1.2% last 3 vs 3.0% season (2025)

  • Bhayshul Tuten's scoring over expected (xFP) is skill, not variance

    Checkpoint

    fpoe (actual minus xFP per game), season (2025)

    +1.6 pts/gm vs expectation (2025)

Poor pick if instead…

  • Bhayshul Tuten's target share is fading from the season baseline

    Checkpoint

    target_share, last 3 games vs season (2025)

    1.2% last 3 vs 3.0% season (2025)

  • Bhayshul Tuten's scoring over expected regresses to the xFP baseline

    Checkpoint

    fpoe (actual minus xFP per game), season (2025)

    +1.6 pts/gm vs expectation (2025)

Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure on this page is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data — nothing is hand-entered. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator.

FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.

Your league, your roster

Ask Chalk & Sharp about Bhayshul Tuten for your exact draft.

This page is a league-average read. The AI assistant weighs Bhayshul Tuten against your scoring, your roster build, and who is still on the board when your pick comes up.

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