Head to head · July 2026 draft-day read
Colston Loveland or Tyler Warren?
Colston Loveland and Tyler Warren are a near-tie on 2025 production (8.5 vs 8.9 half-PPR PPG). At matching July 2026 ADP, the pick came down to your roster build, not a market tiebreak.
This week's projections are in the Week 9 start/sit card below. The July 2026 draft-day read that follows is opinion, framed from the cited 2025 data.
This week's start/sit · Half-PPR
Week 9: start Colston Loveland or Tyler Warren?
Coin flip: Tyler Warren and Colston Loveland are 0.6 pts apart.
In 2024–25, projection gaps under 1 point went the higher player's way about 52% of the time — close to a coin toss.
What does differ: Tyler Warren has the higher floor (6.0 vs 5.4) and CHI is implied for more points (26.3 vs IND's 22.8).
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TE · IND
Tyler Warren
10.6 pts projected · range 6.0–18.1
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TE · CHI
Colston Loveland
10.0 pts projected · range 5.4–17.5
2026 season · the games so far
2026 head-to-head so far
Through Week 8, Tyler Warren has out-scored Colston Loveland by 3.7 PPR points per game, 12.6 to 8.9 (Colston Loveland 7 games, Tyler Warren 6 games).
Through Week 8 · Week 8 in progress — 13 of 14 games final · nflverse stats as of
Colston Loveland · Week 8 injury report Injury report — neck, full practice
Tyler Warren · Week 8 injury report Injury report — groin, full practice
| Colston Loveland | Metric | Tyler Warren |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 6 |
| 8.9 | PPR points per game | 12.6 |
| 19% | Target share | 23% |
| 6.0 | Targets per game | 7.7 |
| 85% | Snap share | 88% |
| 14.1 | PPR points per game, last 3 games | 12.1 |
Purple marks the higher figure. Shares are team-relative, averaged per game; snap share counts only games with a published snap count. "Last 3 games" is each player's own last 3 games played. A dash means no 2026 figure. 2026 regular season via nflverse.
Game by game: Colston Loveland · Tyler Warren
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
Metric by metric
The tale of the tape
| Colston Loveland | Metric | Tyler Warren |
|---|---|---|
| 53.4 (TE3) | Draft ADP (July 2026) | 63.2 (TE4) |
| 53 | Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 64 |
| 8.5 | Fantasy points / game | 8.9 |
| 16.6% | Target share | — |
| 29.2% | Target share, last 3 games (2025) | — |
| 48 | Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 57 |
Purple marks the better figure. A dash means the engine did not cite that metric for that player. 2025 regular season via nflverse · ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator, Jul 15, 2026 snapshot.
The consensus read
July 2026 drafts separated them by a hair — Colston Loveland at ADP 53.4, Tyler Warren at ADP 63.2. On 2025 production it is 8.5 vs 8.9 half-PPR points per game.
What had to be true
This call flipped on beliefs that were checkable at the time. Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read.
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Checkpoint · Colston Loveland
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
29.2% last 3 vs 16.6% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong move if you believed
Colston Loveland's late-2025 target share is the new baseline, not a blip
Poor move if instead
Colston Loveland's late-2025 target spike is small-sample noise that reverts
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure here is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.