Head to head
Derrick Henry or James Cook?
Derrick Henry and James Cook are a near-tie on 2025 production (16.0 vs 16.8 half-PPR PPG). At matching ADP, the pick comes down to your roster build, not a market tiebreak.
Our read, framed from the cited 2025 data below — opinion, not a projection.
Metric by metric
The tale of the tape
| Derrick Henry | Metric | James Cook |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 (RB6) | ADP | 10.5 (RB7) |
| 10 | Overall ADP rank | 11 |
| 16.0 | Fantasy points / game | 16.8 |
| +5.5 | Points over expected (FPOE) | — |
| 4.9% | Target share | — |
| 2.0% | Target share, last 3 games (2025) | — |
| 24 | Sleeper search rank | 5 |
Purple marks the better figure. A dash means the engine did not cite that metric for that player. 2025 regular season via nflverse · ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator.
The consensus read
The market separates them by a hair — Derrick Henry at ADP 9.5, James Cook at ADP 10.5. On 2025 production it is 16.0 vs 16.8 half-PPR points per game.
What has to be true
This call flips on beliefs you can check. Each one is tied to the exact data point that confirms or denies it, with its current value.
Strong move if you believe…
-
Derrick Henry's late-2025 target dip was matchup noise, not a role change
Checkpoint: target_share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
2.0% last 3 vs 4.9% season (2025)
-
Derrick Henry's scoring over expected (xFP) is skill, not variance
Checkpoint: fpoe (actual minus xFP per game), season (2025)
+5.5 pts/gm vs expectation (2025)
Poor move if instead…
-
Derrick Henry's target share is fading from the season baseline
Checkpoint: target_share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
2.0% last 3 vs 4.9% season (2025)
-
Derrick Henry's scoring over expected regresses to the xFP baseline
Checkpoint: fpoe (actual minus xFP per game), season (2025)
+5.5 pts/gm vs expectation (2025)
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure here is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator.
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.