Head to head · July 2026 draft-day read
Kyren Williams or Javonte Williams?
Kyren Williams and Javonte Williams are a near-tie on 2025 production (14.4 vs 14.1 half-PPR PPG). At matching July 2026 ADP, the pick came down to your roster build, not a market tiebreak.
This week's projections are in the Week 6 start/sit card below. The July 2026 draft-day read that follows is opinion, framed from the cited 2025 data.
This week's start/sit · Half-PPR
Week 6: start Kyren Williams or Javonte Williams?
Lean Kyren Williams over Javonte Williams (2.0 pts).
In 2024–25, projection gaps this size went the higher player's way about 62% of the time.
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RB · LAR
Kyren Williams
17.4 pts projected · range 10.2–26.4
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RB · DAL
Javonte Williams
15.4 pts projected · range 8.2–24.4
2026 season · the games so far
2026 head-to-head so far
Through Week 5, Kyren Williams has out-scored Javonte Williams by 3.2 PPR points per game, 22.4 to 19.2 (Kyren Williams 4 games, Javonte Williams 5 games).
Through Week 5 · Week 5 in progress — 13 of 15 games final · nflverse stats as of
| Kyren Williams | Metric | Javonte Williams |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 5 |
| 22.4 | PPR points per game | 19.2 |
| 13.5 | Carries per game | 14.8 |
| 15% | Target share | 11% |
| 68% | Snap share | 77% |
| 24.7 | PPR points per game, last 3 games | 21.3 |
Purple marks the higher figure. Shares are team-relative, averaged per game; snap share counts only games with a published snap count. "Last 3 games" is each player's own last 3 games played. A dash means no 2026 figure. 2026 regular season via nflverse.
Game by game: Kyren Williams · Javonte Williams
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
Metric by metric
The tale of the tape
| Kyren Williams | Metric | Javonte Williams |
|---|---|---|
| 31.4 (RB16) | Draft ADP (July 2026) | 35 (RB17) |
| 33 | Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 35 |
| 14.4 | Fantasy points / game | 14.1 |
| 8.1% | Target share | — |
| 11.4% | Target share, last 3 games (2025) | — |
| 26 | Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 32 |
Purple marks the better figure. A dash means the engine did not cite that metric for that player. 2025 regular season via nflverse · ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator, Jul 15, 2026 snapshot.
The consensus read
July 2026 drafts separated them by a hair — Kyren Williams at ADP 31.4, Javonte Williams at ADP 35. On 2025 production it is 14.4 vs 14.1 half-PPR points per game.
What had to be true
This call flipped on beliefs that were checkable at the time. Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read.
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Checkpoint · Kyren Williams
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
11.4% last 3 vs 8.1% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong move if you believed
Kyren Williams's late-2025 target share is the new baseline, not a blip
Poor move if instead
Kyren Williams's late-2025 target spike is small-sample noise that reverts
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure here is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.