Head to head · July 2026 draft-day read
Mark Andrews or Dallas Goedert?
Dallas Goedert was the stronger 2025 producer — 10.3 vs 6.3 half-PPR points per game, at essentially the same July 2026 draft cost (ADP 128.4 vs 130). That gap was the draft-day case for Dallas Goedert.
This week's projections are in the Week 5 start/sit card below. The July 2026 draft-day read that follows is opinion, framed from the cited 2025 data.
This week's start/sit · Half-PPR
Week 5: start Mark Andrews or Dallas Goedert?
Mark Andrews is the safer start: Dallas Goedert missed Weeks 3–4 and his Week 5 status isn't known yet.
Mark Andrews also projects higher: 7.8 vs 7.6 for Dallas Goedert if he plays.
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TE · BAL
Mark Andrews
7.8 pts projected · range 3.1–15.3
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TE · PHI · Status unknown
Dallas Goedert
7.6 pts projected if he plays · range 2.9–15.1
Missed Weeks 3–4 — no Week 5 report from PHI yet
2026 season · the games so far
2026 head-to-head so far
Through Week 4, Dallas Goedert has out-scored Mark Andrews by 2.8 PPR points per game, 12.6 to 9.7 (Mark Andrews 4 games, Dallas Goedert 2 games).
Through Week 4 · nflverse stats as of
Mark Andrews · Week 5 injury report Injury report — hand, full practice
| Mark Andrews | Metric | Dallas Goedert |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 2 |
| 9.7 | PPR points per game | 12.6 |
| 24% | Target share | 15% |
| 6.0 | Targets per game | 3.5 |
| 63% | Snap share | 60% |
| 10.0 | PPR points per game, last 3 games | 12.5 |
Purple marks the higher figure. Shares are team-relative, averaged per game; snap share counts only games with a published snap count. "Last 3 games" is each player's own last 3 games played. A dash means no 2026 figure. 2026 regular season via nflverse.
Game by game: Mark Andrews · Dallas Goedert
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
Metric by metric
The tale of the tape
| Mark Andrews | Metric | Dallas Goedert |
|---|---|---|
| 128.4 (TE11) | Draft ADP (July 2026) | 130 (TE12) |
| 130 | Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 133 |
| 6.3 | Fantasy points / game | 10.3 |
| 17.1% | Target share | — |
| 17.5% | Target share, last 3 games (2025) | — |
| 96 | Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 94 |
Purple marks the better figure. A dash means the engine did not cite that metric for that player. 2025 regular season via nflverse · ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator, Jul 15, 2026 snapshot.
The consensus read
July 2026 drafts separated them by a hair — Mark Andrews at ADP 128.4, Dallas Goedert at ADP 130. On 2025 production it is 6.3 vs 10.3 half-PPR points per game.
What had to be true
This call flipped on beliefs that were checkable at the time. Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read.
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Checkpoint · Mark Andrews
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
17.5% last 3 vs 17.1% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Steady: 0.4 points between the last three games and the season is ordinary game-to-game noise, so this checkpoint does not lean either way.
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure here is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.