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Head to head · July 2026 draft-day read

Terry McLaurin or Ladd McConkey?

Terry McLaurin and Ladd McConkey are a near-tie on 2025 production (9.5 vs 9.2 half-PPR PPG). At matching July 2026 ADP, the pick came down to your roster build, not a market tiebreak.

This week's projections are in the Week 5 start/sit card below. The July 2026 draft-day read that follows is opinion, framed from the cited 2025 data.

high confidence Wide receiver · Half-PPR · draft ADP as of Jul 15, 2026

This week's start/sit · Half-PPR

Week 5: start Terry McLaurin or Ladd McConkey?

Ladd McConkey is the safer start: Terry McLaurin missed Week 4 (hamstring) and his Week 5 status isn't known yet.

If Terry McLaurin is cleared, his projection is 10.3 vs Ladd McConkey's 7.9.

  • WR · WAS · Status unknown

    Terry McLaurin

    10.3 pts projected if he plays · range 3.8–19.1

    Missed Week 4 (hamstring) — no Week 5 game status yet (Week 5 practice report: did not practice)

  • WR · LAC

    Ladd McConkey

    7.9 pts projected · range 1.4–16.7

Compare them in the start/sit tool

2026 season · the games so far

2026 head-to-head so far

Through Week 4, Terry McLaurin has out-scored Ladd McConkey by 1.0 PPR points per game, 10.0 to 9.1 (Terry McLaurin 3 games, Ladd McConkey 4 games).

Through Week 4 · nflverse stats as of

Terry McLaurin · Week 5 injury report Injury report — hamstring, did not practice

Terry McLaurin vs Ladd McConkey, 2026 regular season through Week 4
Terry McLaurin Metric Ladd McConkey
3 Games 4
10.0 PPR points per game 9.1
23% Target share 15%
7.3 Targets per game 4.3
77% Snap share 54%
10.0 PPR points per game, last 3 games 5.7

Purple marks the higher figure. Shares are team-relative, averaged per game; snap share counts only games with a published snap count. "Last 3 games" is each player's own last 3 games played. A dash means no 2026 figure. 2026 regular season via nflverse.

Game by game: Terry McLaurin · Ladd McConkey

Draft-day record · July 2026

The July 2026 draft-day read

This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools

Metric by metric

The tale of the tape

Terry McLaurin vs Ladd McConkey — cited metrics
Terry McLaurin Metric Ladd McConkey
35.6 (WR18) Draft ADP (July 2026) 37 (WR19)
36 Overall ADP rank (July 2026) 37
9.5 Fantasy points / game 9.2
23.2% Target share —
24.8% Target share, last 3 games (2025) —
56 Sleeper search rank (July 2026) 41

Purple marks the better figure. A dash means the engine did not cite that metric for that player. 2025 regular season via nflverse · ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator, Jul 15, 2026 snapshot.

Chalk

The consensus read

July 2026 drafts separated them by a hair — Terry McLaurin at ADP 35.6, Ladd McConkey at ADP 37. On 2025 production it is 9.5 vs 9.2 half-PPR points per game.

Sharp

What had to be true

This call flipped on beliefs that were checkable at the time. Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read.

  • Checkpoint · Terry McLaurin

    Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)

    24.8% last 3 vs 23.2% season (2025) · as of July 2026

    Strong move if you believed

    Terry McLaurin's late-2025 target share is the new baseline, not a blip

    Poor move if instead

    Terry McLaurin's late-2025 target uptick is small-sample noise that reverts

Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure here is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).

FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.

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