Jameson Williams: 2026 Fantasy Football Outlook
At 11.0 half-PPR points per game in 2025, Jameson Williams outproduced what a WR21 draft slot usually returns — that was the draft-day value case in July 2026. His target share slipped over his last three games of 2025.
Our read, framed from the cited 2025 data below — opinion, not a projection.
Jameson Williams
WR · Detroit Lions
This week · Week 6
On bye in Week 6. Back in Week 7 vs GB, Sun 4:25 PM ET.
Season so far · through Week 5
- Half-PPR/g
- 9.7 half-PPR points a game over 5 games, 48.6 in all.
- PPR rank
- WR29 of 154 WRs with 2 or more games, by PPR points per game.
- Games
- 5 games with a stat line through Week 5.
- tgt share
- 15.4% of his team's targets this season, per team game.
PPR 57.6 (11.5/g) · Std 39.6 (7.9/g)
Game log · half-PPR
Half-PPR points by week, oldest first: Week 1 NO 6.5, Week 2 BUF 4.3, Week 3 NYJ 6.9, Week 4 CAR 13.2, Week 5 ARI 17.7.
This week · DET on bye
Week 6
On bye in Week 6. Back in Week 7 vs GB, Sun 4:25 PM ET.
| Rest of season | WR29 of 103 · 9.5 PPGHalf-PPR points per game, market prior included · 11 games left through Week 17 |
|---|
Trade value 2 of 100
Redraft chart, Weeks 6–17, 12-team Half-PPR: rank 79 of 85 players above replacement.
See the trade value chart Put him in a trade
Market prior: preseason ADP from Fantasy Football Calculator.
2026 season · the games so far
2026 so far
Through Week 5 · Week 5 in progress — 13 of 15 games final · nflverse stats as of
- PPR pts / game
- 11.5
- WR rank
- WR29
- of 154 with 2+ games
- Games
- 5
- DET
| Scoring | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Standard | 39.6 | 7.9 |
| Half-PPR | 48.6 | 9.7 |
| PPR | 57.6 | 11.5 |
WR rank is by PPR points per game among WRs with 2 or more games.
Game log
Swipe for every stat and the calculator link
| Wk | Opp | PPR pts | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Tgt share | Snap % | Calculator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | ARI | 18.7 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 2 | 14% | — | Score this game |
| 4 | CAR | 16.2 | 8 | 6 | 102 | 0 | 16% | 99% | Score this game |
| 3 | NYJ | 8.9 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 13% | 82% | Score this game |
| 2 | BUF | 5.3 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 11% | 97% | Score this game |
| 1 | NO | 8.5 | 9 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 23% | 84% | Score this game |
PPR pts is nflverse's full-PPR total for the game. "Score this game" opens the fantasy point calculator with that exact line loaded, to re-score it in Standard, Half-PPR or your league's settings. A dash means nflverse has no figure for that game yet.
Usage trend
Swipe for the season and the change
| Per game | Last 3 (Wks 3–5) | Season | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 91% | 91% | 0 |
| Targets per game | 5.3 | 5.8 | −0.5 |
| Target share | 14% | 15% | −1 |
| Air-yards share | 32% | 34% | −3 |
| PPR points per game | 14.6 | 11.5 | +3.1 |
Shares are team-relative and averaged per game. Snap share leaves out Week 5: no snap count has been published for that game yet.
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
The numbers behind the read
| Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| ADP (July 2026) | 42.6 | Fantasy Football Calculator |
| Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 43 | Fantasy Football Calculator |
| Fantasy points / game | 11.0 | nflverse |
| Points over expected (FPOE) | +1.9 | nflverse |
| Target share | 18.6% | nflverse |
| Target share, last 3 games (2025) | 16.6% | nflverse |
| Snap share trend, last 3 vs season (2025) | +0.8pp | nflverse |
| Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 52 | Sleeper |
xFP (expected fantasy points) is what a typical player would score with the same targets, carries and field position. FPOE (points over expected) is actual points minus xFP, per game.
The consensus read
Jameson Williams was drafted as the WR21 — ADP 42.6 — in July 2026. His 11.0 half-PPR points per game in 2025 clears the WR starter line, with targets fading late in that year.
- ADP 42.6
- Overall ADP rank 43
- Sleeper search rank 52
- Fantasy points / game 11.0
The edge case — what had to be true
Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read. Check them against what has actually happened since.
-
Checkpoint
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
16.6% last 3 vs 18.6% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong pick if you believed
Jameson Williams's late-2025 target dip was matchup noise, not a role change
Poor pick if instead
Jameson Williams's target share is fading from the season baseline
-
Checkpoint
Points over expected (FPOE) per game, season (2025)
+1.9 pts/gm vs expectation (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong pick if you believed
Jameson Williams's scoring over expected (xFP) is skill, not variance
Poor pick if instead
Jameson Williams's scoring over expected regresses to the xFP baseline
-
Checkpoint
Snap share trend, season (2025)
+0.8pp (2025) · as of July 2026
Steady: a 0.8-point move in snap share over the season is ordinary noise, so this checkpoint does not lean either way.
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure on this page is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data — nothing is hand-entered. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.
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