Jordan Love: 2026 Fantasy Football Outlook
Jordan Love averaged 15.7 half-PPR points per game in 2025 — about what a QB17 draft slot is worth, so the price reads roughly in line with the production. His snap share fell -15.6pp across the 2025 season.
Our read, framed from the cited 2025 data below — opinion, not a projection.
The numbers behind the read
| Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| ADP | 129.1 | Fantasy Football Calculator |
| Overall ADP rank | 132 | Fantasy Football Calculator |
| Fantasy points / game | 15.7 | nflverse |
| Points over expected (FPOE) | +3.9 | nflverse |
| Snap share trend, last 3 vs season (2025) | -15.6pp | nflverse |
| Sleeper search rank | 50 | Sleeper |
The consensus read
The market drafts Jordan Love as the QB17 (ADP 129.1). His 15.7 half-PPR points per game in 2025 clears the QB starter line.
- adp 129.1
- adp_rank 132
- search_rank 50
- ppg 15.7
The edge case — what has to be true
Every belief is tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that confirms or denies it, with its current value. Draft on the beliefs you share.
Strong pick if you believe…
-
Jordan Love's scoring over expected (xFP) is skill, not variance
Checkpoint
fpoe (actual minus xFP per game), season (2025)
+3.9 pts/gm vs expectation (2025)
-
Jordan Love's snap dip was game-script, not a demotion
Checkpoint
snap_pct_trend, season (2025)
-15.6pp (2025)
Poor pick if instead…
-
Jordan Love's scoring over expected regresses to the xFP baseline
Checkpoint
fpoe (actual minus xFP per game), season (2025)
+3.9 pts/gm vs expectation (2025)
-
Jordan Love's snap share is shrinking
Checkpoint
snap_pct_trend, season (2025)
-15.6pp (2025)
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure on this page is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data — nothing is hand-entered. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator.
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.
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