Ricky Pearsall: 2026 Fantasy Football Outlook
Ricky Pearsall averaged 7.8 half-PPR points per game in 2025 — about what a WR46 draft slot was worth, so the July 2026 price read roughly in line with the production. His target share trended up over his last three games of 2025.
Our read, framed from the cited 2025 data below — opinion, not a projection.
Ricky Pearsall
WR · San Francisco 49ers
This week · Week 5
Not enough 2026 data for a Week 5 projection.
Season so far
No 2026 regular-season stat line through Week 4.
This week
Week 5
Not enough 2026 data to project him this week: the model needs a game of history and a minimum workload (passes, carries or targets per game) before it prints a number.
2026 season · the games so far
2026 so far
Through Week 4 · nflverse stats as of
Ricky Pearsall has no 2026 regular-season stat line through Week 4: nflverse has no game line for him this season.
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
The numbers behind the read
| Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| ADP (July 2026) | 96.9 | Fantasy Football Calculator |
| Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 98 | Fantasy Football Calculator |
| Fantasy points / game | 7.8 | nflverse |
| Points over expected (FPOE) | -1.3 | nflverse |
| Target share | 18.0% | nflverse |
| Target share, last 3 games (2025) | 20.8% | nflverse |
| Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 86 | Sleeper |
xFP (expected fantasy points) is what a typical player would score with the same targets, carries and field position. FPOE (points over expected) is actual points minus xFP, per game.
The consensus read
Ricky Pearsall was drafted as the WR46 — ADP 96.9 — in July 2026. His 7.8 half-PPR points per game in 2025 sits below the WR starter line, with targets trending up late in that year.
- ADP 96.9
- Overall ADP rank 98
- Sleeper search rank 86
- Fantasy points / game 7.8
The edge case — what had to be true
Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read. Check them against what has actually happened since.
-
Checkpoint
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
20.8% last 3 vs 18.0% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong pick if you believed
Ricky Pearsall's late-2025 target share is the new baseline, not a blip
Poor pick if instead
Ricky Pearsall's late-2025 target uptick is small-sample noise that reverts
-
Checkpoint
Points over expected (FPOE) per game, season (2025)
-1.3 pts/gm vs expectation (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong pick if you believed
Ricky Pearsall's underperformance was bad luck — the usage converts going forward
Poor pick if instead
Ricky Pearsall keeps leaving points on the field relative to his usage
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure on this page is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data — nothing is hand-entered. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.
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