Tyjae Spears: 2026 Fantasy Football Outlook
Tyjae Spears averaged 6.9 half-PPR points per game in 2025 — about what a RB43 draft slot was worth, so the July 2026 price read roughly in line with the production. His target share trended up over his last three games of 2025.
Our read, framed from the cited 2025 data below — opinion, not a projection.
Tyjae Spears
RB · Tennessee Titans
This week · Week 5
vs HOU · Sun 1:00 PM ET
Not enough 2026 data for a Week 5 projection.
Season so far · through Week 4
- Half-PPR/g
- 3.3 half-PPR points a game over 4 games, 13.0 in all.
- PPR rank
- RB62 of 91 RBs with 2 or more games, by PPR points per game.
- Games
- 4 games with a stat line through Week 4.
- car/g
- 3.8 carries per team game this season.
PPR 15.5 (3.9/g) · Std 10.5 (2.6/g)
Game log · half-PPR
Half-PPR points by week, oldest first: Week 1 NYJ 3.4, Week 2 PHI 8.0, Week 3 NYG 0.5, Week 4 BAL 1.1. Bye in Week 9.
This week · TEN vs HOU
Week 5
Not enough 2026 data to project him this week: the model needs a game of history and a minimum workload (passes, carries or targets per game) before it prints a number.
| Opponent | vs HOUTEN at home |
|---|---|
| Kickoff | Sun 1:00 PM ET |
| Implied total | 15.3TEN · consensus line |
2026 season · the games so far
2026 so far
Through Week 4 · nflverse stats as of
- PPR pts / game
- 3.9
- RB rank
- RB62
- of 91 with 2+ games
- Games
- 4
- TEN
| Scoring | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Standard | 10.5 | 2.6 |
| Half-PPR | 13.0 | 3.3 |
| PPR | 15.5 | 3.9 |
RB rank is by PPR points per game among RBs with 2 or more games.
Game log
Swipe for every stat and the calculator link
| Wk | Opp | PPR pts | Carries | Rush yds | Rush TD | Targets | Rec | Rec yds | Rec TD | Snap % | Calculator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BAL | 1.6 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 36% | Score this game |
| 3 | NYG | 0.5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47% | Score this game |
| 2 | PHI | 9.0 | 7 | 41 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 36% | Score this game |
| 1 | NYJ | 4.4 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 50% | Score this game |
PPR pts is nflverse's full-PPR total for the game. "Score this game" opens the fantasy point calculator with that exact line loaded, to re-score it in Standard, Half-PPR or your league's settings. A dash means nflverse has no figure for that game yet.
Usage trend
Swipe for the season and the change
| Per game | Last 3 (Wks 2–4) | Season | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 40% | 42% | −3 |
| Carries per game | 4.0 | 3.8 | +0.3 |
| Targets per game | 1.0 | 1.8 | −0.8 |
| Target share | 5% | 8% | −2 |
| PPR points per game | 3.7 | 3.9 | −0.2 |
Shares are team-relative and averaged per game.
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
The numbers behind the read
| Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| ADP (July 2026) | 135.4 | Fantasy Football Calculator |
| Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 142 | Fantasy Football Calculator |
| Fantasy points / game | 6.9 | nflverse |
| Points over expected (FPOE) | -0.5 | nflverse |
| Target share | 12.3% | nflverse |
| Target share, last 3 games (2025) | 15.1% | nflverse |
| Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 122 | Sleeper |
xFP (expected fantasy points) is what a typical player would score with the same targets, carries and field position. FPOE (points over expected) is actual points minus xFP, per game.
The consensus read
Tyjae Spears was drafted as the RB43 — ADP 135.4 — in July 2026. His 6.9 half-PPR points per game in 2025 sits below the RB starter line, with targets trending up late in that year.
- ADP 135.4
- Overall ADP rank 142
- Sleeper search rank 122
- Fantasy points / game 6.9
The edge case — what had to be true
Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read. Check them against what has actually happened since.
-
Checkpoint
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
15.1% last 3 vs 12.3% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong pick if you believed
Tyjae Spears's late-2025 target share is the new baseline, not a blip
Poor pick if instead
Tyjae Spears's late-2025 target uptick is small-sample noise that reverts
-
Checkpoint
Points over expected (FPOE) per game, season (2025)
-0.5 pts/gm vs expectation (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong pick if you believed
Tyjae Spears's underperformance was bad luck — the usage converts going forward
Poor pick if instead
Tyjae Spears keeps leaving points on the field relative to his usage
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure on this page is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data — nothing is hand-entered. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.
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