Head to head · July 2026 draft-day read
Brock Bowers or Colston Loveland?
Brock Bowers was the stronger 2025 producer — 12.0 vs 8.5 half-PPR points per game, at essentially the same July 2026 draft cost (ADP 41 vs 53.4). That gap was the draft-day case for Brock Bowers.
This week's projections are in the Week 5 start/sit card below. The July 2026 draft-day read that follows is opinion, framed from the cited 2025 data.
This week's start/sit · Half-PPR
Week 5: start Brock Bowers or Colston Loveland?
Clear start: Brock Bowers over Colston Loveland (5.1 pts).
In 2024–25, projection gaps this size went the higher player's way about 78% of the time.
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TE · LV
Brock Bowers
13.8 pts projected · range 9.1–21.3
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TE · CHI
Colston Loveland
8.7 pts projected · range 4.0–16.2
2026 season · the games so far
2026 head-to-head so far
Through Week 4, Brock Bowers has out-scored Colston Loveland by 19.1 PPR points per game, 24.1 to 5.0 (Brock Bowers 2 games, Colston Loveland 4 games).
Through Week 4 · Week 4 in progress — 15 of 16 games final · nflverse stats as of
Brock Bowers · Week 4 injury report Injury report — knee, limited in practice
| Brock Bowers | Metric | Colston Loveland |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Games | 4 |
| 24.1 | PPR points per game | 5.0 |
| 33% | Target share | 15% |
| 12.0 | Targets per game | 4.5 |
| 81% | Snap share | 86% |
| 24.1 | PPR points per game, last 3 games | 6.7 |
Purple marks the higher figure. Shares are team-relative, averaged per game; snap share counts only games with a published snap count. "Last 3 games" is each player's own last 3 games played. A dash means no 2026 figure. 2026 regular season via nflverse.
Game by game: Brock Bowers · Colston Loveland
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
Metric by metric
The tale of the tape
| Brock Bowers | Metric | Colston Loveland |
|---|---|---|
| 41 (TE2) | Draft ADP (July 2026) | 53.4 (TE3) |
| 42 | Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 53 |
| 12.0 | Fantasy points / game | 8.5 |
| 23.4% | Target share | — |
| 24.2% | Target share, last 3 games (2025) | — |
| 21 | Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 48 |
Purple marks the better figure. A dash means the engine did not cite that metric for that player. 2025 regular season via nflverse · ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator, Jul 15, 2026 snapshot.
The consensus read
July 2026 drafts separated them by a hair — Brock Bowers at ADP 41, Colston Loveland at ADP 53.4. On 2025 production it is 12.0 vs 8.5 half-PPR points per game.
What had to be true
This call flipped on beliefs that were checkable at the time. Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read.
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Checkpoint · Brock Bowers
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
24.2% last 3 vs 23.4% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong move if you believed
Brock Bowers's late-2025 target share is the new baseline, not a blip
Poor move if instead
Brock Bowers's late-2025 target uptick is small-sample noise that reverts
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure here is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.