Head to head · July 2026 draft-day read
Courtland Sutton or Parker Washington?
Courtland Sutton and Parker Washington are a near-tie on 2025 production (10.7 vs 9.7 half-PPR PPG). At matching July 2026 ADP, the pick came down to your roster build, not a market tiebreak.
Our read, framed from the cited 2025 data below — opinion, not a projection.
This week's start/sit · Half-PPR
Week 5: start Courtland Sutton or Parker Washington?
No call: none of these players has a projection for Week 5.
Courtland Sutton's game has already kicked off and Parker Washington's game has already kicked off.
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Kicked off
Courtland Sutton
His Week 5 game already kicked off (Sun 4:05 PM ET) — too late to change.
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Kicked off
Parker Washington
His Week 5 game already kicked off (Sun 9:30 AM ET) — too late to change.
2026 season · the games so far
2026 head-to-head so far
Through Week 5, Parker Washington has out-scored Courtland Sutton by 8.4 PPR points per game, 12.8 to 4.4 (4 games each).
Through Week 5 · Week 5 in progress — 1 of 15 games final · nflverse stats as of
| Courtland Sutton | Metric | Parker Washington |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 4 |
| 4.4 | PPR points per game | 12.8 |
| 18% | Target share | 26% |
| 5.5 | Targets per game | 6.5 |
| 77% | Snap share | 76% |
| 4.8 | PPR points per game, last 3 games | 10.6 |
Purple marks the higher figure. Shares are team-relative, averaged per game; snap share counts only games with a published snap count. "Last 3 games" is each player's own last 3 games played. A dash means no 2026 figure. 2026 regular season via nflverse.
Game by game: Courtland Sutton · Parker Washington
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
Metric by metric
The tale of the tape
| Courtland Sutton | Metric | Parker Washington |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9 (WR34) | Draft ADP (July 2026) | 70.4 (WR35) |
| 68 | Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 72 |
| 10.7 | Fantasy points / game | 9.7 |
| -0.3 | Points over expected (FPOE) | — |
| 21.1% | Target share | — |
| 20.6% | Target share, last 3 games (2025) | — |
| 72 | Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 71 |
Purple marks the better figure. A dash means the engine did not cite that metric for that player. 2025 regular season via nflverse · ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator, Jul 15, 2026 snapshot.
xFP (expected fantasy points) is what a typical player would score with the same targets, carries and field position. FPOE (points over expected) is actual points minus xFP, per game.
The consensus read
July 2026 drafts separated them by a hair — Courtland Sutton at ADP 66.9, Parker Washington at ADP 70.4. On 2025 production it is 10.7 vs 9.7 half-PPR points per game.
What had to be true
This call flipped on beliefs that were checkable at the time. Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read.
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Checkpoint · Courtland Sutton
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
20.6% last 3 vs 21.1% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong move if you believed
Courtland Sutton's late-2025 target dip was matchup noise, not a role change
Poor move if instead
Courtland Sutton's target share is fading from the season baseline
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Checkpoint · Courtland Sutton
Points over expected (FPOE) per game, season (2025)
-0.3 pts/gm vs expectation (2025) · as of July 2026
Steady: within half a point a game of expectation, so his usage explains his scoring and this checkpoint does not lean either way.
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure here is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.