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Wide receiver · JAX · 2026 draft outlook

Parker Washington: 2026 Fantasy Football Outlook

At 9.7 half-PPR points per game in 2025, Parker Washington outproduced what a WR35 draft slot usually returns — the read leans draft-day value. His target share trended up over his last three games of 2025.

Our read, framed from the cited 2025 data below — opinion, not a projection.

high confidence ADP 70.4 · WR35 · Half-PPR · as of Jul 14, 2026
By the numbers

The numbers behind the read

Cited Parker Washington metrics and their data sources
Metric Value Source
ADP 70.4 Fantasy Football Calculator
Overall ADP rank 72 Fantasy Football Calculator
Fantasy points / game 9.7 nflverse
Points over expected (FPOE) +0.7 nflverse
Target share 18.0% nflverse
Target share, last 3 games (2025) 28.2% nflverse
Sleeper search rank 71 Sleeper
Chalk

The consensus read

The market drafts Parker Washington as the WR35 (ADP 70.4). His 9.7 half-PPR points per game in 2025 clears the WR starter line, with targets trending up late in that year.

  • adp 70.4
  • adp_rank 72
  • search_rank 71
  • ppg 9.7
Sharp

The edge case — what has to be true

Every belief is tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that confirms or denies it, with its current value. Draft on the beliefs you share.

Strong pick if you believe…

  • Parker Washington's late-2025 target share is the new baseline, not a blip

    Checkpoint

    target_share, last 3 games vs season (2025)

    28.2% last 3 vs 18.0% season (2025)

  • Parker Washington's scoring over expected (xFP) is skill, not variance

    Checkpoint

    fpoe (actual minus xFP per game), season (2025)

    +0.7 pts/gm vs expectation (2025)

Poor pick if instead…

  • Parker Washington's late-2025 target spike is small-sample noise that reverts

    Checkpoint

    target_share, last 3 games vs season (2025)

    28.2% last 3 vs 18.0% season (2025)

  • Parker Washington's scoring over expected regresses to the xFP baseline

    Checkpoint

    fpoe (actual minus xFP per game), season (2025)

    +0.7 pts/gm vs expectation (2025)

Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure on this page is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data — nothing is hand-entered. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator.

FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.

Your league, your roster

Ask Chalk & Sharp about Parker Washington for your exact draft.

This page is a league-average read. The AI assistant weighs Parker Washington against your scoring, your roster build, and who is still on the board when your pick comes up.

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