Head to head · July 2026 draft-day read
Tetairoa McMillan or Terry McLaurin?
Tetairoa McMillan and Terry McLaurin are a near-tie on 2025 production (10.5 vs 9.5 half-PPR PPG). At matching July 2026 ADP, the pick came down to your roster build, not a market tiebreak.
This week's projections are in the Week 5 start/sit card below. The July 2026 draft-day read that follows is opinion, framed from the cited 2025 data.
This week's start/sit · Half-PPR
Week 5: start Tetairoa McMillan or Terry McLaurin?
Terry McLaurin by default: Tetairoa McMillan is on bye in Week 5.
Terry McLaurin projects for 10.3 pts if he plays — he missed Week 4 (hamstring) and his Week 5 status isn't known yet.
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WR · WAS · Status unknown
Terry McLaurin
10.3 pts projected if he plays · range 3.8–19.1
Missed Week 4 (hamstring) — no Week 5 game status yet (Week 5 practice report: did not practice)
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Can't start · Bye
Tetairoa McMillan
CAR is on bye in Week 5 — can't start.
2026 season · the games so far
2026 head-to-head so far
Through Week 4, Tetairoa McMillan has out-scored Terry McLaurin by 8.6 PPR points per game, 18.6 to 10.0 (Tetairoa McMillan 4 games, Terry McLaurin 3 games).
Through Week 4 · nflverse stats as of
Terry McLaurin · Week 5 injury report Injury report — hamstring, did not practice
| Tetairoa McMillan | Metric | Terry McLaurin |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 3 |
| 18.6 | PPR points per game | 10.0 |
| 27% | Target share | 23% |
| 9.8 | Targets per game | 7.3 |
| 87% | Snap share | 77% |
| 21.3 | PPR points per game, last 3 games | 10.0 |
Purple marks the higher figure. Shares are team-relative, averaged per game; snap share counts only games with a published snap count. "Last 3 games" is each player's own last 3 games played. A dash means no 2026 figure. 2026 regular season via nflverse.
Game by game: Tetairoa McMillan · Terry McLaurin
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
Metric by metric
The tale of the tape
| Tetairoa McMillan | Metric | Terry McLaurin |
|---|---|---|
| 34 (WR17) | Draft ADP (July 2026) | 35.6 (WR18) |
| 34 | Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 36 |
| 10.5 | Fantasy points / game | 9.5 |
| 25.7% | Target share | — |
| 23.8% | Target share, last 3 games (2025) | — |
| 37 | Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 56 |
Purple marks the better figure. A dash means the engine did not cite that metric for that player. 2025 regular season via nflverse · ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator, Jul 15, 2026 snapshot.
The consensus read
July 2026 drafts separated them by a hair — Tetairoa McMillan at ADP 34, Terry McLaurin at ADP 35.6. On 2025 production it is 10.5 vs 9.5 half-PPR points per game.
What had to be true
This call flipped on beliefs that were checkable at the time. Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read.
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Checkpoint · Tetairoa McMillan
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
23.8% last 3 vs 25.7% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong move if you believed
Tetairoa McMillan's late-2025 target dip was matchup noise, not a role change
Poor move if instead
Tetairoa McMillan's target share is fading from the season baseline
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure here is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.