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Redraft trade analyzer

Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer & Calculator

Both sides of a trade on one rest-of-season scale, set to your league.

Side A · You give

Side B · You get

Add up to 4 players to each side: what you give on side A, what you get on side B.

2026 stats through Week 3 (nflverse, updated ). Market prior: Fantasy Football Calculator half-PPR ADP from drafts Sep 6–11. Schedule grades: 2025 + 2026 points allowed, through Week 3 (updated ).

Method

How the analyzer works

Put what you give on side A and what you get on side B, up to four players each. Every player is worth what he is worth on the trade value chart: how many more points he should score from now to the end of your season than the player you could replace him with off waivers.

value = max(0, ROS PPG − replacement PPG) × games left

ROS PPG is the rest-of-season projection behind the rest-of-season rankings: the weekly model run with no opponent, blended with preseason ADP worth 4 games, then scored in your league. Games left runs through Week 14 or Week 17 and skips his bye, and this week if he is ruled out. Replacement is the best player your league's starting lineups leave on waivers. A side is worth the sum of its players.

Uneven trades. The team that gets more players has to drop someone to make room. That player is counted at replacement level, which is 0 points above replacement, because the player a team cuts is usually a bench player the waiver wire can replace. The analyzer says so on every uneven trade. If your cut would be better than that, take his value off your side.

The verdict compares the two sides per week of the season left: the value gap divided by the weeks from now to your end week. Under 0.5 a week, or within 10% of even, is Even; 0.5 to under 3 a week leans to the side ahead; 3 or more is a clear win. Each comes with how often trades like it went the favoured side's way in the backtest below.

Schedule is shown, not counted. Each player's rest-of-season and Weeks 15–17 schedule grades sit next to his value as context. Adding strength of schedule made rest-of-season projections worse in the backtest, so it is not in the value.

Worked example

One star for two starters

The default league (half-PPR, 12 teams, 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 flex), Weeks 4–17, from this week's data: you give Bijan Robinson, the No. 2 player by value, and get Ashton Jeanty and Omarion Hampton, the No. 10 and No. 20.

  • Bijan Robinson (RB): (19.28 − 8.26) × 13 games = 143.3
  • Ashton Jeanty (RB): (14.82 − 8.26) × 13 games = 85.3
  • Omarion Hampton (RB): (12.84 − 8.26) × 13 games = 59.5
  • Side A: 143.3 points above replacement.
  • Side B: 85.3 + 59.5 = 144.8 points above replacement.
  • Roster spot: side B has 1 more player, and the drop is counted at replacement: + 0.
  • Gap: 1.5 ÷ 14 weeks (Weeks 4–17) = 0.1 a week, 1% of the bigger side. Even (within 10%): under 0.5 a week, or within 10% of even.

Even (within 10%). The two sides project within 10% of each other: side B (what you get) is ahead by 1.5 points above replacement over the 14 weeks left. Trades this close were a coin flip in our 2024–25 backtest: the side projected higher came out ahead 51% of the time.

You get 2 players for 1, so you would drop 1 player to make room. That player is counted at replacement level — 0 points above replacement — because the player a team cuts is usually a bench player the waiver wire can replace. If you would have to cut someone better than that, take his value off side B.

Open this trade in the analyzer and change the league: the same three players, re-valued — in a 10-team league, Leans A: 125.3 vs 108.9; in a superflex league, Even (within 10%): 143.3 vs 144.8; in full PPR, Leans A: 142.6 vs 120.0.

Does the verdict hold up?

How often the favoured side came out ahead

We replayed the rest-of-season projection at Weeks 5, 8 and 11 of the 2024 and 2025 seasons, using only data available at the time, and valued every player above replacement in the default league. Then we paired them up as one-for-one trades (20,911 pairs) and checked which player actually scored more points above replacement through Week 17. Injuries count: a game a player missed counts as a replacement start, 0 above replacement.

The gap per week was the measure that held steady across both seasons and all three checkpoints. The gap as a share of the bigger side added little once the weekly gap was known: two fringe players 60% apart are still close to a coin flip. Sampled two-for-one trades landed within a point and a half of the one-for-one rates, which is the evidence for counting the dropped player at 0.

Gap per week Verdict Favoured side ahead 2025 2024 Pairs 2-for-1
under 0.5 points a week, or within 10% Even 51% 49.8% 52.1% 3,585 52.3%
0.5–1 points a week Leans 57% 56.7% 58.0% 3,445 57.7%
1–2 points a week Leans 65% 62.5% 67.1% 5,154 64.9%
2–3 points a week Leans 73% 73.3% 73.5% 3,508 73.1%
3–5 points a week Clear win 82% 82.9% 81.0% 4,121 82.5%
5 or more points a week Clear win 94% 95.1% 90.7% 1,098 92.8%

Half-PPR, 12 teams, 1 QB / 2 RB / 2 WR / 1 TE / 1 flex, nflverse stats and Fantasy Football Calculator ADP. An exact tie (usually both players finishing at or below replacement) counts as half; 20% of the Even pairs tied. The pairs overlap (each player is in many), so treat them as a guide to the rates, not as independent trades. Not measured: other league settings, trades before Week 5 or after Week 11 (there are fewer weeks for a gap to show), and a Week 14 end.

Dynasty and keeper leagues

What this analyzer doesn't cover

This is a redraft analyzer: it values this season only. It leaves out:

  • — Next season and beyond: the value stops at Week 17, so a 22-year-old and a 31-year-old with the same rest-of-season line are worth the same here.
  • — Age curves: no position-by-position decline or growth is applied.
  • — Rookie draft picks: a pick has no rest-of-season points, so it has no value on this chart.
  • — Contracts, keeper costs and salary caps.

Trading picks? The draft pick trade calculator values redraft picks, and the dynasty pick value chart values rookie picks for future years.

The honest part

What the analyzer can't tell you

Your roster matters. Values are league-wide. A third quarterback is worth little to a team that already starts two good ones, and a two-for-one only helps if the extra player would start for you. Look at what each side does to your starting lineup.

A clear win is not a sure thing. Even the biggest gaps in the backtest went the other way about 1 time in 16, and a trade that leans one way came through 57% to 73% of the time, depending on the gap.

Injuries beyond this week aren't in it. Only a player ruled out on this week's report loses a game. Check the injury report before you agree to anything.

Role changes lag. A promoted backup, a starter back from injury, or a traded player is valued on his old role until new games arrive.

Kickers, defenses and picks aren't valued, and 100-yard, 300-yard, long-touchdown and return-touchdown scoring isn't projected.

A fantasy tool, not betting advice. FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.

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Next step

Shopping for the other side? See every value on one scale.

Redraft trade values for every QB, RB, WR and TE on one 0–100 scale, set to your league size and scoring — add up each side of a trade.

Open the trade value chart 

Chalk & Sharp, our AI start/sit assistant, is coming soon 

2026 player stats, usage, red-zone chances and the schedule via nflverse.com (CC-BY-4.0), updated . Preseason ADP courtesy of Fantasy Football Calculator (Sep 6–11 half-PPR drafts).