Dynasty Pick Value Chart

How it works

Every rookie pick from 1.01 to 4.12 carries a base value from a fixed chart — heuristic 1QB midpoints roughly aligned with public consensus from FantasyCalc and KTC over recent seasons, assuming a 12-team league. The same table powers our keeper and pick-trade calculators, so a 1.05 is worth the same thing everywhere on this site.

Future-year picks are discounted 15% per year out: value = base × 0.85yearsOut. Next year's 1st is worth ~85% of an equivalent current-year 1st, the year after ~72%. The discount reflects three real frictions: you wait a season for the player, you don't know the pick's slot yet, and rookie classes are graded optimistically from a distance. The current year is the next rookie draft, and it rolls over automatically on Sept 1, once the summer's rookie drafts are done: from September through the season, next year's class is the one your league drafts next, so a 1st in it is valued as a current pick, not a future one.

Don't know where a pick will land yet? Choose an early, mid or late round instead of a slot. Each is the average of that third of the round: an early 1st is 1.01–1.04, a mid 1st 1.05–1.08 and a late 1st 1.09–1.12, then discounted by year like any other pick.

What this does NOT account for

• Superflex. Top QBs are foundational in 2QB leagues, which steepens the curve at the top significantly.
• TE premium. Bumps late 1sts and early 2nds in years with strong rookie TE classes.
• Team timeline. A contender values current-year picks more; a rebuilder values futures more than the flat 15% discount implies.
• Rookie class strength. A loaded class pulls all pick values up; a weak one pulls them down.

Treat the verdict as a starting point for the conversation, not an oracle. Real dynasty trades happen at the intersection of value charts and roster context.

Related tools

• Draft pick trade calculator — the redraft version, on a convex overall-pick curve.
• Keeper value calculator — what a keeper costs you in pick value.
• Snake draft pick order calculator — every overall pick your rookie-draft slot owns.