Patrick Mahomes stats & 2026 fantasy outlook
Through Week 4 of 2026, Patrick Mahomes has 83.6 PPR points in 4 games: 20.9 per game, QB7 of 40 in PPR points per game.
Patrick Mahomes
QB · Kansas City Chiefs
Season so far · through Week 4
- Half-PPR/g
- 20.9 half-PPR points a game over 4 games, 83.6 in all.
- PPR rank
- QB7 of 40 QBs with 2 or more games, by PPR points per game.
- Games
- 4 games with a stat line through Week 4.
- pass yds/g
- 259 passing yards a game this season, over 4 games.
PPR 83.6 (20.9/g) · Std 83.6 (20.9/g)
This week · Week 5
On bye in Week 5. Back in Week 6 vs LAC, Sun 4:25 PM ET.
Game log · half-PPR
Half-PPR points by week, oldest first: Week 1 DEN 21.7, Week 2 IND 29.0, Week 3 MIA 15.9, Week 4 LV 17.0.
2026 season · the games so far
Patrick Mahomes 2026 stats so far
Through Week 4 · nflverse stats as of
- PPR pts / game
- 20.9
- QB rank
- QB7
- of 40 with 2+ games
- Games
- 4
- KC
| Scoring | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Standard | 83.6 | 20.9 |
| Half-PPR | 83.6 | 20.9 |
| PPR | 83.6 | 20.9 |
QB rank is by PPR points per game among QBs with 2 or more games.
Game log
Swipe for every stat and the calculator link
| Wk | Opp | PPR pts | Pass yds | Pass TD | INT | Carries | Rush yds | Rush TD | Snap % | Calculator |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | LV | 17.0 | 225 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100% | Score this game |
| 3 | MIA | 15.9 | 246 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | Score this game |
| 2 | IND | 29.0 | 382 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 100% | Score this game |
| 1 | DEN | 21.7 | 184 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 100% | Score this game |
PPR pts is nflverse's full-PPR total for the game. "Score this game" opens the fantasy point calculator with that exact line loaded, to re-score it in Standard, Half-PPR or your league's settings. A dash means nflverse has no figure for that game yet.
Usage trend
Swipe for the season and the change
| Per game | Last 3 (Wks 2–4) | Season | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Snap share | 100% | 100% | 0 |
| Carries per game | 1.7 | 3.0 | −1.3 |
| PPR points per game | 20.6 | 20.9 | −0.3 |
Shares are team-relative and averaged per game.
This week · KC on bye
Week 5
On bye in Week 5. Back in Week 6 vs LAC, Sun 4:25 PM ET.
| Rest of season | QB11 of 39 · 17.4 PPGHalf-PPR points per game, market prior included · 12 games left through Week 17 |
|---|
Trade value 5 of 100
Redraft chart, Weeks 5–17, 12-team Half-PPR: rank 68 of 84 players above replacement.
See the trade value chart Put him in a trade
Market prior: preseason ADP from Fantasy Football Calculator.
Draft-day record · July 2026
The July 2026 draft-day read
This is the July 2026 pre-draft read, kept as published. Every ADP and market figure on this page comes from the Fantasy Football Calculator snapshot of Jul 15, 2026 and is not updated in-season — 2026 drafts are over and ADP has stopped moving. In-season tools
At 20.4 half-PPR points per game in 2025, Patrick Mahomes outproduced what a QB6 draft slot usually returns — that was the draft-day value case in July 2026. His target share trended up over his last three games of 2025.
Our read, framed from the cited 2025 data below — opinion, not a projection.
The numbers behind the read
| Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| ADP (July 2026) | 68.9 | Fantasy Football Calculator |
| Overall ADP rank (July 2026) | 70 | Fantasy Football Calculator |
| Fantasy points / game | 20.4 | nflverse |
| Points over expected (FPOE) | +5.5 | nflverse |
| Target share | 0.2% | nflverse |
| Target share, last 3 games (2025) | 1.1% | nflverse |
| Sleeper search rank (July 2026) | 26 | Sleeper |
xFP (expected fantasy points) is what a typical player would score with the same targets, carries and field position. FPOE (points over expected) is actual points minus xFP, per game.
The consensus read
Patrick Mahomes was drafted as the QB6 — ADP 68.9 — in July 2026. His 20.4 half-PPR points per game in 2025 clears the QB starter line, with targets trending up late in that year.
- ADP 68.9
- Overall ADP rank 70
- Sleeper search rank 26
- Fantasy points / game 20.4
The edge case — what had to be true
Every belief was tied to a checkpoint: the exact data point that would confirm or deny it, with its value at the time of the July 2026 read. Check them against what has actually happened since.
-
Checkpoint
Target share, last 3 games vs season (2025)
1.1% last 3 vs 0.2% season (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong pick if you believed
Patrick Mahomes's late-2025 target share is the new baseline, not a blip
Poor pick if instead
Patrick Mahomes's late-2025 target uptick is small-sample noise that reverts
-
Checkpoint
Points over expected (FPOE) per game, season (2025)
+5.5 pts/gm vs expectation (2025) · as of July 2026
Strong pick if you believed
Patrick Mahomes's scoring over expected (xFP) is skill, not variance
Poor pick if instead
Patrick Mahomes's scoring over expected regresses to the xFP baseline
Sources: Fantasy Football Calculator · Sleeper · nflverse. Every figure on this page is a value the analysis engine cited from the underlying data — nothing is hand-entered. Stats are 2025 regular season via nflverse (CC-BY 4.0); ADP via Fantasy Football Calculator (Jul 15, 2026 snapshot, not updated in-season).
FantasyTools analysis is opinion for entertainment purposes only — not betting, financial, or professional advice.
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